Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democratic nominee Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, reflecting its structural tilt toward the GOP. Carey secured the Republican nomination without opposition after the May primary, while Leonard emerged from a competitive Democratic primary. A July internal poll showed the race within five points, yet broader analyst consensus and historical performance in the redrawn district continue to underpin the Republican edge reflected in trader pricing. National midterm dynamics and turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow or widen the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-15 House Election Winner
$10,501 ปริมาณ
$10,501 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
19%
$10,501 ปริมาณ
$10,501 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
19%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democratic nominee Don Leonard in Ohio’s 15th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, reflecting its structural tilt toward the GOP. Carey secured the Republican nomination without opposition after the May primary, while Leonard emerged from a competitive Democratic primary. A July internal poll showed the race within five points, yet broader analyst consensus and historical performance in the redrawn district continue to underpin the Republican edge reflected in trader pricing. National midterm dynamics and turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow or widen the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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