Incumbent Republican Governor Henry McMaster's term limits create an open race for South Carolina's November 3 general election, with trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP nominee at 90% implied probability due to the state's deep-red status—Republicans have held the governorship since 2003 and dominate statewide results. Recent early May polls, including a Trafalgar Group survey (May 2–5), show a fragmented Republican primary on June 9 led by Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette (25%) and Attorney General Alan Wilson (23%), followed by Reps. Ralph Norman (20%) and Nancy Mace (15%), with 30% undecided in aggregates as of May 10. Democrats face a low-visibility primary featuring state Rep. Jermaine Johnson and others, underscoring structural barriers absent a GOP scandal or nominee implosion. Forecasters rate it Solid Republican.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSouth Carolina Governor Election Winner
South Carolina Governor Election Winner
$10,588 ปริมาณ
$10,588 ปริมาณ

Republican
90%

Democrat
4%
$10,588 ปริมาณ
$10,588 ปริมาณ

Republican
90%

Democrat
4%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Henry McMaster's term limits create an open race for South Carolina's November 3 general election, with trader consensus heavily favoring the GOP nominee at 90% implied probability due to the state's deep-red status—Republicans have held the governorship since 2003 and dominate statewide results. Recent early May polls, including a Trafalgar Group survey (May 2–5), show a fragmented Republican primary on June 9 led by Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette (25%) and Attorney General Alan Wilson (23%), followed by Reps. Ralph Norman (20%) and Nancy Mace (15%), with 30% undecided in aggregates as of May 10. Democrats face a low-visibility primary featuring state Rep. Jermaine Johnson and others, underscoring structural barriers absent a GOP scandal or nominee implosion. Forecasters rate it Solid Republican.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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