Republican majorities in the House and Senate continue to block Democratic-backed impeachment resolutions and proposals for a 25th Amendment fitness commission, including recent articles introduced in early April 2026 citing foreign policy statements and public activity. These measures remain symbolic without the bipartisan support or two-thirds Senate vote historically required for removal. President Trump has maintained a full schedule of engagements with no reported health concerns, resignation signals, or cabinet actions under the 25th Amendment in the past 30 days. Traders price the 90.5% implied probability for him remaining in office through 2026 around these structural barriers, consistent with low historical rates of mid-term presidential exits absent broad consensus. The November midterms represent the next potential shift in congressional dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วย้ายออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีก่อนปี 2027?
ย้ายออกจากตำแหน่งประธานาธิบดีก่อนปี 2027?
ใช่
$8,517,791 ปริมาณ
$8,517,791 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
$8,517,791 ปริมาณ
$8,517,791 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in the House and Senate continue to block Democratic-backed impeachment resolutions and proposals for a 25th Amendment fitness commission, including recent articles introduced in early April 2026 citing foreign policy statements and public activity. These measures remain symbolic without the bipartisan support or two-thirds Senate vote historically required for removal. President Trump has maintained a full schedule of engagements with no reported health concerns, resignation signals, or cabinet actions under the 25th Amendment in the past 30 days. Traders price the 90.5% implied probability for him remaining in office through 2026 around these structural barriers, consistent with low historical rates of mid-term presidential exits absent broad consensus. The November midterms represent the next potential shift in congressional dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,517,791วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Republican majorities in the House and Senate continue to block Democratic-backed impeachment resolutions and proposals for a 25th Amendment fitness commission, including recent articles introduced in early April 2026 citing foreign policy statements and public activity. These measures remain symbolic without the bipartisan support or two-thirds Senate vote historically required for removal. President Trump has maintained a full schedule of engagements with no reported health concerns, resignation signals, or cabinet actions under the 25th Amendment in the past 30 days. Traders price the 90.5% implied probability for him remaining in office through 2026 around these structural barriers, consistent with low historical rates of mid-term presidential exits absent broad consensus. The November midterms represent the next potential shift in congressional dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,517,792วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in the House and Senate continue to block Democratic-backed impeachment resolutions and proposals for a 25th Amendment fitness commission, including recent articles introduced in early April 2026 citing foreign policy statements and public activity. These measures remain symbolic without the bipartisan support or two-thirds Senate vote historically required for removal. President Trump has maintained a full schedule of engagements with no reported health concerns, resignation signals, or cabinet actions under the 25th Amendment in the past 30 days. Traders price the 90.5% implied probability for him remaining in office through 2026 around these structural barriers, consistent with low historical rates of mid-term presidential exits absent broad consensus. The November midterms represent the next potential shift in congressional dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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