OpenAI's commanding lead in generative AI services underpins the overwhelming 99% market-implied odds for second-highest revenue in the week of May 11-17. Sustained growth in ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise API usage, and large language model deployments has produced consistent weekly inflows that outpace pure-play rivals. Google trails due to its more diversified revenue streams and slower attribution of AI-specific earnings, while Anthropic and xAI remain further behind on scale and commercialization milestones. The consensus reflects traders' assessment of proven user metrics and recurring revenue patterns rather than unverified projections. A sudden major product release or regulatory approval for a competitor could narrow the gap, though historical release cycles suggest such shifts are unlikely within the narrow weekly window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOpenAI 99.0%
Google <1%
MiniMax <1%
Anthropic <1%
$28,135 ปริมาณ
$28,135 ปริมาณ
OpenAI
99%
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
OpenAI 99.0%
Google <1%
MiniMax <1%
Anthropic <1%
$28,135 ปริมาณ
$28,135 ปริมาณ
OpenAI
99%
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
xAI
<1%
The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 8, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The week’s values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled “Other” will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, “Anthropic” would be ranked ahead of “OpenAI”). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's commanding lead in generative AI services underpins the overwhelming 99% market-implied odds for second-highest revenue in the week of May 11-17. Sustained growth in ChatGPT subscriptions, enterprise API usage, and large language model deployments has produced consistent weekly inflows that outpace pure-play rivals. Google trails due to its more diversified revenue streams and slower attribution of AI-specific earnings, while Anthropic and xAI remain further behind on scale and commercialization milestones. The consensus reflects traders' assessment of proven user metrics and recurring revenue patterns rather than unverified projections. A sudden major product release or regulatory approval for a competitor could narrow the gap, though historical release cycles suggest such shifts are unlikely within the narrow weekly window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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