Trader sentiment strongly favors Anthropic with a 71% implied probability for the leading large language model by end of June, reflecting its recent Claude 4 release that posted top scores on key benchmarks for reasoning and safety alignment. This positioning stems from consistent gains in multi-step problem solving and reduced hallucination rates compared to prior versions, strengthening the company's edge in enterprise adoption. Google holds second place at 20.5% on the strength of Gemini updates and integration across its cloud platform, though traders see slower capability jumps relative to Anthropic. OpenAI trails at 6% amid ongoing internal scaling challenges, while xAI and Meta register minimal odds due to less frequent public benchmark leadership in the current cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 71.2%
กูเกิล 21%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.0%
$6,013,134 ปริมาณ
$6,013,134 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
71%
กูเกิล
21%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
1%
เมตา
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
อเมซอน
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
อาลีบาบา
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
ไป่ตู้
<1%
Anthropic 71.2%
กูเกิล 21%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 1.0%
$6,013,134 ปริมาณ
$6,013,134 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$845,990 ปริมาณ
71%
กูเกิล
$549,743 ปริมาณ
21%
OpenAI
$343,745 ปริมาณ
6%
xAI
$1,067,771 ปริมาณ
1%
เมตา
$137,000 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$504,501 ปริมาณ
<1%
อเมซอน
$163,559 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$303,595 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$483,620 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$156,712 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$160,178 ปริมาณ
<1%
อาลีบาบา
$383,409 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$364,375 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$383,469 ปริมาณ
<1%
ไป่ตู้
$165,561 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader sentiment strongly favors Anthropic with a 71% implied probability for the leading large language model by end of June, reflecting its recent Claude 4 release that posted top scores on key benchmarks for reasoning and safety alignment. This positioning stems from consistent gains in multi-step problem solving and reduced hallucination rates compared to prior versions, strengthening the company's edge in enterprise adoption. Google holds second place at 20.5% on the strength of Gemini updates and integration across its cloud platform, though traders see slower capability jumps relative to Anthropic. OpenAI trails at 6% amid ongoing internal scaling challenges, while xAI and Meta register minimal odds due to less frequent public benchmark leadership in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,013,134วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader sentiment strongly favors Anthropic with a 71% implied probability for the leading large language model by end of June, reflecting its recent Claude 4 release that posted top scores on key benchmarks for reasoning and safety alignment. This positioning stems from consistent gains in multi-step problem solving and reduced hallucination rates compared to prior versions, strengthening the company's edge in enterprise adoption. Google holds second place at 20.5% on the strength of Gemini updates and integration across its cloud platform, though traders see slower capability jumps relative to Anthropic. OpenAI trails at 6% amid ongoing internal scaling challenges, while xAI and Meta register minimal odds due to less frequent public benchmark leadership in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,013,134วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment strongly favors Anthropic with a 71% implied probability for the leading large language model by end of June, reflecting its recent Claude 4 release that posted top scores on key benchmarks for reasoning and safety alignment. This positioning stems from consistent gains in multi-step problem solving and reduced hallucination rates compared to prior versions, strengthening the company's edge in enterprise adoption. Google holds second place at 20.5% on the strength of Gemini updates and integration across its cloud platform, though traders see slower capability jumps relative to Anthropic. OpenAI trails at 6% amid ongoing internal scaling challenges, while xAI and Meta register minimal odds due to less frequent public benchmark leadership in the current cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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