US naval forces have conducted multiple destroyer transits and mine-clearing operations through the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026 as part of freedom-of-navigation efforts amid the US-Iran conflict and blockade of Iranian ports, which began after failed ceasefire talks. President Trump publicly urged allies including the UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others to contribute warships for patrols, while India and Pakistan have deployed escorts in the Gulf of Oman. Recent US Central Command coordination has focused on guiding commercial vessels rather than expanding multinational naval presence, with traffic remaining far below pre-February averages. With the June 30 resolution date approaching, trader assessments center on whether additional confirmed warship movements by the US or partners occur in the narrow remaining window before diplomatic or operational shifts alter the situation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
$731,061 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
United Kingdom
8%
France
11%
Germany
10%
Italy
9%
Netherlands
5%
Japan
4%
Canada
3%
India
20%
Greece
6%
Pakistan
20%
United States
35%
Saudi Arabia
9%
UAE
21%
Bahrain
38%
Qatar
16%
Kuwait
3%
Oman
12%
South Korea
9%
Australia
5%
$731,061 ปริมาณ
United Kingdom
$601,511 ปริมาณ
8%
France
$68,932 ปริมาณ
11%
Germany
$16,496 ปริมาณ
10%
Italy
$5,441 ปริมาณ
9%
Netherlands
$6,311 ปริมาณ
5%
Japan
$1,123 ปริมาณ
4%
Canada
$161 ปริมาณ
3%
India
$477 ปริมาณ
20%
Greece
$267 ปริมาณ
6%
Pakistan
$361 ปริมาณ
20%
United States
$11,544 ปริมาณ
35%
Saudi Arabia
$642 ปริมาณ
9%
UAE
$106 ปริมาณ
21%
Bahrain
$170 ปริมาณ
38%
Qatar
$8,484 ปริมาณ
16%
Kuwait
$233 ปริมาณ
3%
Oman
$133 ปริมาณ
12%
South Korea
$180 ปริมาณ
9%
Australia
$11,826 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.US naval forces have conducted multiple destroyer transits and mine-clearing operations through the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026 as part of freedom-of-navigation efforts amid the US-Iran conflict and blockade of Iranian ports, which began after failed ceasefire talks. President Trump publicly urged allies including the UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others to contribute warships for patrols, while India and Pakistan have deployed escorts in the Gulf of Oman. Recent US Central Command coordination has focused on guiding commercial vessels rather than expanding multinational naval presence, with traffic remaining far below pre-February averages. With the June 30 resolution date approaching, trader assessments center on whether additional confirmed warship movements by the US or partners occur in the narrow remaining window before diplomatic or operational shifts alter the situation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$731,061วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.US naval forces have conducted multiple destroyer transits and mine-clearing operations through the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026 as part of freedom-of-navigation efforts amid the US-Iran conflict and blockade of Iranian ports, which began after failed ceasefire talks. President Trump publicly urged allies including the UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others to contribute warships for patrols, while India and Pakistan have deployed escorts in the Gulf of Oman. Recent US Central Command coordination has focused on guiding commercial vessels rather than expanding multinational naval presence, with traffic remaining far below pre-February averages. With the June 30 resolution date approaching, trader assessments center on whether additional confirmed warship movements by the US or partners occur in the narrow remaining window before diplomatic or operational shifts alter the situation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$731,061วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US naval forces have conducted multiple destroyer transits and mine-clearing operations through the Strait of Hormuz since April 2026 as part of freedom-of-navigation efforts amid the US-Iran conflict and blockade of Iranian ports, which began after failed ceasefire talks. President Trump publicly urged allies including the UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others to contribute warships for patrols, while India and Pakistan have deployed escorts in the Gulf of Oman. Recent US Central Command coordination has focused on guiding commercial vessels rather than expanding multinational naval presence, with traffic remaining far below pre-February averages. With the June 30 resolution date approaching, trader assessments center on whether additional confirmed warship movements by the US or partners occur in the narrow remaining window before diplomatic or operational shifts alter the situation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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