US opposition to any Iranian-Omani oversight or toll system for the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor behind the 96.5% trader consensus against an agreement by June 15. President Trump has repeatedly rejected proposals for joint management or fees, while broader US-Iran talks on ending the ongoing conflict show no breakthrough and remain deadlocked over core issues including sanctions and nuclear matters. Iranian statements as recently as June 8 continue to reference new conditions with Oman, yet no formal accord has materialized amid US warnings to Muscat. The narrow five-day window to the deadline leaves little room for the diplomatic alignment required, though a last-minute concession in separate US-Iran channels or an unexpected Omani shift could still alter the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
$16,340 ปริมาณ
$16,340 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
$16,340 ปริมาณ
$16,340 ปริมาณ
Jun 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US opposition to any Iranian-Omani oversight or toll system for the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor behind the 96.5% trader consensus against an agreement by June 15. President Trump has repeatedly rejected proposals for joint management or fees, while broader US-Iran talks on ending the ongoing conflict show no breakthrough and remain deadlocked over core issues including sanctions and nuclear matters. Iranian statements as recently as June 8 continue to reference new conditions with Oman, yet no formal accord has materialized amid US warnings to Muscat. The narrow five-day window to the deadline leaves little room for the diplomatic alignment required, though a last-minute concession in separate US-Iran channels or an unexpected Omani shift could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,340วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US opposition to any Iranian-Omani oversight or toll system for the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor behind the 96.5% trader consensus against an agreement by June 15. President Trump has repeatedly rejected proposals for joint management or fees, while broader US-Iran talks on ending the ongoing conflict show no breakthrough and remain deadlocked over core issues including sanctions and nuclear matters. Iranian statements as recently as June 8 continue to reference new conditions with Oman, yet no formal accord has materialized amid US warnings to Muscat. The narrow five-day window to the deadline leaves little room for the diplomatic alignment required, though a last-minute concession in separate US-Iran channels or an unexpected Omani shift could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement relating to vessel traffic, transit management, tolling, or fee collection in the Strait of Hormuz, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between Iran and Oman between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Statements describing talks, proposals, negotiations, or non-finalized frameworks that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not qualify.
An agreement will qualify as a mutual agreement if it is confirmed as a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if the agreement isn’t formally announced by both governments.
Agreements that include Iran and Oman as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Iran and Oman; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,340วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US opposition to any Iranian-Omani oversight or toll system for the Strait of Hormuz remains the dominant factor behind the 96.5% trader consensus against an agreement by June 15. President Trump has repeatedly rejected proposals for joint management or fees, while broader US-Iran talks on ending the ongoing conflict show no breakthrough and remain deadlocked over core issues including sanctions and nuclear matters. Iranian statements as recently as June 8 continue to reference new conditions with Oman, yet no formal accord has materialized amid US warnings to Muscat. The narrow five-day window to the deadline leaves little room for the diplomatic alignment required, though a last-minute concession in separate US-Iran channels or an unexpected Omani shift could still alter the outcome before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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