Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the Trump administration, including recent proposals to limit uranium enrichment for at least a decade in exchange for sanctions relief and an end to regional conflicts, underpin the 60% implied probability for a nuclear deal before 2027. Following a temporary ceasefire in April 2026 after earlier strikes on Iranian sites, both sides have exchanged frameworks via Omani mediation, with Washington seeking stricter curbs on enrichment and stockpiles than the 2015 JCPOA. Iranian officials have signaled openness to reviewing terms while rejecting immediate halts, creating deadlock on key verification issues. This environment of active but stalled diplomacy, alongside domestic Iranian protests and US military posture, shapes trader assessments of a completed agreement materializing within the timeline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
$1,329,235 ปริมาณ
$1,329,235 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
$1,329,235 ปริมาณ
$1,329,235 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the Trump administration, including recent proposals to limit uranium enrichment for at least a decade in exchange for sanctions relief and an end to regional conflicts, underpin the 60% implied probability for a nuclear deal before 2027. Following a temporary ceasefire in April 2026 after earlier strikes on Iranian sites, both sides have exchanged frameworks via Omani mediation, with Washington seeking stricter curbs on enrichment and stockpiles than the 2015 JCPOA. Iranian officials have signaled openness to reviewing terms while rejecting immediate halts, creating deadlock on key verification issues. This environment of active but stalled diplomacy, alongside domestic Iranian protests and US military posture, shapes trader assessments of a completed agreement materializing within the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,329,235วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the Trump administration, including recent proposals to limit uranium enrichment for at least a decade in exchange for sanctions relief and an end to regional conflicts, underpin the 60% implied probability for a nuclear deal before 2027. Following a temporary ceasefire in April 2026 after earlier strikes on Iranian sites, both sides have exchanged frameworks via Omani mediation, with Washington seeking stricter curbs on enrichment and stockpiles than the 2015 JCPOA. Iranian officials have signaled openness to reviewing terms while rejecting immediate halts, creating deadlock on key verification issues. This environment of active but stalled diplomacy, alongside domestic Iranian protests and US military posture, shapes trader assessments of a completed agreement materializing within the timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,329,235วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the Trump administration, including recent proposals to limit uranium enrichment for at least a decade in exchange for sanctions relief and an end to regional conflicts, underpin the 60% implied probability for a nuclear deal before 2027. Following a temporary ceasefire in April 2026 after earlier strikes on Iranian sites, both sides have exchanged frameworks via Omani mediation, with Washington seeking stricter curbs on enrichment and stockpiles than the 2015 JCPOA. Iranian officials have signaled openness to reviewing terms while rejecting immediate halts, creating deadlock on key verification issues. This environment of active but stalled diplomacy, alongside domestic Iranian protests and US military posture, shapes trader assessments of a completed agreement materializing within the timeline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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