US-Iran indirect nuclear talks stalled this week after Tehran rejected upfront concessions on uranium enrichment and ballistic missiles, emboldening traders to price a deal by May 31 at just 6.5% yes. New U.S. sanctions targeting IRGC oil operations, announced May 11 amid President Trump's assessment that ceasefire efforts are on "life support," underscore the impasse despite Vice President Vance's May 13 claim of progress. Iran's insistence on its peaceful nuclear rights and unresolved issues like Strait of Hormuz access reinforce trader consensus, with no scheduled direct talks or breakthroughs before the deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
$592,346 ปริมาณ
$592,346 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
$592,346 ปริมาณ
$592,346 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US-Iran indirect nuclear talks stalled this week after Tehran rejected upfront concessions on uranium enrichment and ballistic missiles, emboldening traders to price a deal by May 31 at just 6.5% yes. New U.S. sanctions targeting IRGC oil operations, announced May 11 amid President Trump's assessment that ceasefire efforts are on "life support," underscore the impasse despite Vice President Vance's May 13 claim of progress. Iran's insistence on its peaceful nuclear rights and unresolved issues like Strait of Hormuz access reinforce trader consensus, with no scheduled direct talks or breakthroughs before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$592,346วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.US-Iran indirect nuclear talks stalled this week after Tehran rejected upfront concessions on uranium enrichment and ballistic missiles, emboldening traders to price a deal by May 31 at just 6.5% yes. New U.S. sanctions targeting IRGC oil operations, announced May 11 amid President Trump's assessment that ceasefire efforts are on "life support," underscore the impasse despite Vice President Vance's May 13 claim of progress. Iran's insistence on its peaceful nuclear rights and unresolved issues like Strait of Hormuz access reinforce trader consensus, with no scheduled direct talks or breakthroughs before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$592,346วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran indirect nuclear talks stalled this week after Tehran rejected upfront concessions on uranium enrichment and ballistic missiles, emboldening traders to price a deal by May 31 at just 6.5% yes. New U.S. sanctions targeting IRGC oil operations, announced May 11 amid President Trump's assessment that ceasefire efforts are on "life support," underscore the impasse despite Vice President Vance's May 13 claim of progress. Iran's insistence on its peaceful nuclear rights and unresolved issues like Strait of Hormuz access reinforce trader consensus, with no scheduled direct talks or breakthroughs before the deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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