U.S. Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in direct diplomatic engagement with Iranian officials, including a high-level round of talks in Islamabad, Pakistan, in April 2026 that ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations focused on Iran's nuclear program and a potential ceasefire. As of mid-May, Vance publicly stated that the United States is making progress toward meeting President Trump's red lines on preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon, even after rejecting Tehran's latest proposal. These developments, amid fragile ceasefires and stalled second-round scheduling, have shaped trader assessments of whether additional Vance-led meetings will occur within the market's resolution window. Scheduled policy discussions and any new proposals from either side remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$110,433 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
May 31
11%
June 30
31%
$110,433 ปริมาณ
May 31
$47,448 ปริมาณ
11%
June 30
$7,146 ปริมาณ
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in direct diplomatic engagement with Iranian officials, including a high-level round of talks in Islamabad, Pakistan, in April 2026 that ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations focused on Iran's nuclear program and a potential ceasefire. As of mid-May, Vance publicly stated that the United States is making progress toward meeting President Trump's red lines on preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon, even after rejecting Tehran's latest proposal. These developments, amid fragile ceasefires and stalled second-round scheduling, have shaped trader assessments of whether additional Vance-led meetings will occur within the market's resolution window. Scheduled policy discussions and any new proposals from either side remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,433วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in direct diplomatic engagement with Iranian officials, including a high-level round of talks in Islamabad, Pakistan, in April 2026 that ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations focused on Iran's nuclear program and a potential ceasefire. As of mid-May, Vance publicly stated that the United States is making progress toward meeting President Trump's red lines on preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon, even after rejecting Tehran's latest proposal. These developments, amid fragile ceasefires and stalled second-round scheduling, have shaped trader assessments of whether additional Vance-led meetings will occur within the market's resolution window. Scheduled policy discussions and any new proposals from either side remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between JD Vance as representative of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$110,433วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. Vice President JD Vance has played a central role in direct diplomatic engagement with Iranian officials, including a high-level round of talks in Islamabad, Pakistan, in April 2026 that ended without agreement after 21 hours of negotiations focused on Iran's nuclear program and a potential ceasefire. As of mid-May, Vance publicly stated that the United States is making progress toward meeting President Trump's red lines on preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon, even after rejecting Tehran's latest proposal. These developments, amid fragile ceasefires and stalled second-round scheduling, have shaped trader assessments of whether additional Vance-led meetings will occur within the market's resolution window. Scheduled policy discussions and any new proposals from either side remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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