Ongoing US-Iran tensions and Iranian restrictions continue to suppress commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, vessel tracking data shows daily transits reduced to single digits amid attacks on shipping, Iranian-imposed tolls, mine threats, and suspended operations by major carriers including Maersk and MSC. Over 1,500 vessels remain stranded in the Gulf, with insurance coverage withdrawn and alternative routes prioritized. Gulf states have advanced a UN Security Council resolution demanding Iran halt disruptions and guarantee safe passage, yet no immediate reopening has materialized. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring very low average daily transits by end of May, reflecting sustained security risks and diplomatic impasse in the key energy chokepoint.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
0-10 87%
10-20 7%
20-40 3.1%
60+ 2.7%
$302,296 ปริมาณ
$302,296 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
0-10
87%
10-20
7%
20-40
3%
40-60
2%
60+
3%
0-10 87%
10-20 7%
20-40 3.1%
60+ 2.7%
$302,296 ปริมาณ
$302,296 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
0-10
$165,300 ปริมาณ
87%
10-20
$40,888 ปริมาณ
7%
20-40
$31,519 ปริมาณ
3%
40-60
$24,526 ปริมาณ
2%
60+
$40,596 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing US-Iran tensions and Iranian restrictions continue to suppress commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, vessel tracking data shows daily transits reduced to single digits amid attacks on shipping, Iranian-imposed tolls, mine threats, and suspended operations by major carriers including Maersk and MSC. Over 1,500 vessels remain stranded in the Gulf, with insurance coverage withdrawn and alternative routes prioritized. Gulf states have advanced a UN Security Council resolution demanding Iran halt disruptions and guarantee safe passage, yet no immediate reopening has materialized. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring very low average daily transits by end of May, reflecting sustained security risks and diplomatic impasse in the key energy chokepoint.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302,296วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Ongoing US-Iran tensions and Iranian restrictions continue to suppress commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, vessel tracking data shows daily transits reduced to single digits amid attacks on shipping, Iranian-imposed tolls, mine threats, and suspended operations by major carriers including Maersk and MSC. Over 1,500 vessels remain stranded in the Gulf, with insurance coverage withdrawn and alternative routes prioritized. Gulf states have advanced a UN Security Council resolution demanding Iran halt disruptions and guarantee safe passage, yet no immediate reopening has materialized. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring very low average daily transits by end of May, reflecting sustained security risks and diplomatic impasse in the key energy chokepoint.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data for the specified date has been published. If no data for the specified date has been published by June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on data for the most recent date prior to May 31, 2026, for which data is available.
This market will resolve based on the first publication of data for May 31, 2026. Any subsequent revisions will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$302,296วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing US-Iran tensions and Iranian restrictions continue to suppress commercial traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-May 2026, vessel tracking data shows daily transits reduced to single digits amid attacks on shipping, Iranian-imposed tolls, mine threats, and suspended operations by major carriers including Maersk and MSC. Over 1,500 vessels remain stranded in the Gulf, with insurance coverage withdrawn and alternative routes prioritized. Gulf states have advanced a UN Security Council resolution demanding Iran halt disruptions and guarantee safe passage, yet no immediate reopening has materialized. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring very low average daily transits by end of May, reflecting sustained security risks and diplomatic impasse in the key energy chokepoint.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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