U.S. Navy destroyers, including USS Truxtun and Rafael Peralta, completed multiple transits through the Strait of Hormuz in early May 2026 amid Iranian missile, drone, and small boat harassment, underscoring freedom-of-navigation resolve and sustaining elevated geopolitical risk premiums in energy markets. Brent crude trades near $105 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate around $100, reflecting partial Strait disruptions affecting 20% of global seaborne oil flows, while war-risk premiums for tankers have surged over 400% to roughly 5% of hull value, trapping over 850 vessels. The UK's HMS Dragon destroyer deployment this week signals potential allied escalation, with coalition talks ongoing; traders eye EIA weekly inventories and diplomatic breakthroughs ahead of May 31 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
$805,582 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
United Kingdom
11%
France
8%
Germany
4%
Italy
3%
Netherlands
2%
Japan
4%
Canada
<1%
India
4%
Greece
2%
Pakistan
2%
Saudi Arabia
7%
UAE
5%
Bahrain
6%
Qatar
2%
Kuwait
5%
Oman
2%
South Korea
3%
Australia
<1%
$805,582 ปริมาณ
United Kingdom
$131,468 ปริมาณ
11%
France
$81,769 ปริมาณ
8%
Germany
$137,681 ปริมาณ
4%
Italy
$64,712 ปริมาณ
3%
Netherlands
$31,495 ปริมาณ
2%
Japan
$54,900 ปริมาณ
4%
Canada
$18,636 ปริมาณ
<1%
India
$4,091 ปริมาณ
4%
Greece
$15,787 ปริมาณ
2%
Pakistan
$5,739 ปริมาณ
2%
Saudi Arabia
$19,974 ปริมาณ
7%
UAE
$2,601 ปริมาณ
5%
Bahrain
$16,312 ปริมาณ
6%
Qatar
$3,201 ปริมาณ
2%
Kuwait
$912 ปริมาณ
5%
Oman
$4,498 ปริมาณ
2%
South Korea
$67,903 ปริมาณ
3%
Australia
$68,262 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.U.S. Navy destroyers, including USS Truxtun and Rafael Peralta, completed multiple transits through the Strait of Hormuz in early May 2026 amid Iranian missile, drone, and small boat harassment, underscoring freedom-of-navigation resolve and sustaining elevated geopolitical risk premiums in energy markets. Brent crude trades near $105 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate around $100, reflecting partial Strait disruptions affecting 20% of global seaborne oil flows, while war-risk premiums for tankers have surged over 400% to roughly 5% of hull value, trapping over 850 vessels. The UK's HMS Dragon destroyer deployment this week signals potential allied escalation, with coalition talks ongoing; traders eye EIA weekly inventories and diplomatic breakthroughs ahead of May 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$805,582วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.U.S. Navy destroyers, including USS Truxtun and Rafael Peralta, completed multiple transits through the Strait of Hormuz in early May 2026 amid Iranian missile, drone, and small boat harassment, underscoring freedom-of-navigation resolve and sustaining elevated geopolitical risk premiums in energy markets. Brent crude trades near $105 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate around $100, reflecting partial Strait disruptions affecting 20% of global seaborne oil flows, while war-risk premiums for tankers have surged over 400% to roughly 5% of hull value, trapping over 850 vessels. The UK's HMS Dragon destroyer deployment this week signals potential allied escalation, with coalition talks ongoing; traders eye EIA weekly inventories and diplomatic breakthroughs ahead of May 31 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$805,582วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. Navy destroyers, including USS Truxtun and Rafael Peralta, completed multiple transits through the Strait of Hormuz in early May 2026 amid Iranian missile, drone, and small boat harassment, underscoring freedom-of-navigation resolve and sustaining elevated geopolitical risk premiums in energy markets. Brent crude trades near $105 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate around $100, reflecting partial Strait disruptions affecting 20% of global seaborne oil flows, while war-risk premiums for tankers have surged over 400% to roughly 5% of hull value, trapping over 850 vessels. The UK's HMS Dragon destroyer deployment this week signals potential allied escalation, with coalition talks ongoing; traders eye EIA weekly inventories and diplomatic breakthroughs ahead of May 31 resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย