Recent geopolitical tensions, including supply risks tied to the Iran conflict and elevated crude oil prices above $100 per barrel, have pushed U.S. retail gasoline prices to new 2026 highs near $4.30 per gallon as of early May, according to AAA data. This surge reflects tighter global supply dynamics offsetting softer domestic demand and steady U.S. production levels around 13.5 million barrels per day. EIA forecasts for May 2026 average $3.64 per gallon, yet actual spot levels remain elevated due to ongoing inventory builds and refinery constraints, creating upward pressure on near-term prices. Traders focus on potential catalysts like weekly EIA storage reports and any easing in crude benchmarks ahead of the May 31 resolution, as sustained above-$4.00 levels would support higher-threshold outcomes while any rapid de-escalation could cap gains.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$139,609 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
↑ $5.00
18%
↑ $4.70
54%
↑ $4.60
70%
↓ $4.25
13%
↓ $4.20
16%
↓ $4.10
14%
↓ $4.00
10%
↓ $3.75
4%
↓ $3.50
2%
$139,609 ปริมาณ
↑ $5.00
$21,291 ปริมาณ
18%
↑ $4.70
$11,298 ปริมาณ
54%
↑ $4.60
$11,504 ปริมาณ
70%
↓ $4.25
$2,466 ปริมาณ
13%
↓ $4.20
$1,860 ปริมาณ
16%
↓ $4.10
$796 ปริมาณ
14%
↓ $4.00
$884 ปริมาณ
10%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 ปริมาณ
4%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions, including supply risks tied to the Iran conflict and elevated crude oil prices above $100 per barrel, have pushed U.S. retail gasoline prices to new 2026 highs near $4.30 per gallon as of early May, according to AAA data. This surge reflects tighter global supply dynamics offsetting softer domestic demand and steady U.S. production levels around 13.5 million barrels per day. EIA forecasts for May 2026 average $3.64 per gallon, yet actual spot levels remain elevated due to ongoing inventory builds and refinery constraints, creating upward pressure on near-term prices. Traders focus on potential catalysts like weekly EIA storage reports and any easing in crude benchmarks ahead of the May 31 resolution, as sustained above-$4.00 levels would support higher-threshold outcomes while any rapid de-escalation could cap gains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$139,609วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions, including supply risks tied to the Iran conflict and elevated crude oil prices above $100 per barrel, have pushed U.S. retail gasoline prices to new 2026 highs near $4.30 per gallon as of early May, according to AAA data. This surge reflects tighter global supply dynamics offsetting softer domestic demand and steady U.S. production levels around 13.5 million barrels per day. EIA forecasts for May 2026 average $3.64 per gallon, yet actual spot levels remain elevated due to ongoing inventory builds and refinery constraints, creating upward pressure on near-term prices. Traders focus on potential catalysts like weekly EIA storage reports and any easing in crude benchmarks ahead of the May 31 resolution, as sustained above-$4.00 levels would support higher-threshold outcomes while any rapid de-escalation could cap gains.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$139,609วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions, including supply risks tied to the Iran conflict and elevated crude oil prices above $100 per barrel, have pushed U.S. retail gasoline prices to new 2026 highs near $4.30 per gallon as of early May, according to AAA data. This surge reflects tighter global supply dynamics offsetting softer domestic demand and steady U.S. production levels around 13.5 million barrels per day. EIA forecasts for May 2026 average $3.64 per gallon, yet actual spot levels remain elevated due to ongoing inventory builds and refinery constraints, creating upward pressure on near-term prices. Traders focus on potential catalysts like weekly EIA storage reports and any easing in crude benchmarks ahead of the May 31 resolution, as sustained above-$4.00 levels would support higher-threshold outcomes while any rapid de-escalation could cap gains.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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