Trader consensus on "No" at 66% stems from no verified diplomatic expulsions since Argentina declared Iran's chargé d'affaires, Mohsen Soltani Tehrani, persona non grata in early April over IRGC blacklisting disputes, marking the most recent action. The US disclosure around the same time of quietly expelling Iran's deputy UN ambassador last December for national security concerns added context but revealed no new moves. In the past 30 days, absent fresh espionage allegations, spying plots, or escalation signals, Kuwait's May summons of the Iranian ambassador—protesting an alleged IRGC incursion on Bubiyan Island—escalated rhetoric without triggering expulsion. With six weeks to June 30, traders weigh low near-term risk amid stabilized diplomatic tensions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?
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Jun 30, 2026
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Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on "No" at 66% stems from no verified diplomatic expulsions since Argentina declared Iran's chargé d'affaires, Mohsen Soltani Tehrani, persona non grata in early April over IRGC blacklisting disputes, marking the most recent action. The US disclosure around the same time of quietly expelling Iran's deputy UN ambassador last December for national security concerns added context but revealed no new moves. In the past 30 days, absent fresh espionage allegations, spying plots, or escalation signals, Kuwait's May summons of the Iranian ambassador—protesting an alleged IRGC incursion on Bubiyan Island—escalated rhetoric without triggering expulsion. With six weeks to June 30, traders weigh low near-term risk amid stabilized diplomatic tensions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,570วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus on "No" at 66% stems from no verified diplomatic expulsions since Argentina declared Iran's chargé d'affaires, Mohsen Soltani Tehrani, persona non grata in early April over IRGC blacklisting disputes, marking the most recent action. The US disclosure around the same time of quietly expelling Iran's deputy UN ambassador last December for national security concerns added context but revealed no new moves. In the past 30 days, absent fresh espionage allegations, spying plots, or escalation signals, Kuwait's May summons of the Iranian ambassador—protesting an alleged IRGC incursion on Bubiyan Island—escalated rhetoric without triggering expulsion. With six weeks to June 30, traders weigh low near-term risk amid stabilized diplomatic tensions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata.
An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,570วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on "No" at 66% stems from no verified diplomatic expulsions since Argentina declared Iran's chargé d'affaires, Mohsen Soltani Tehrani, persona non grata in early April over IRGC blacklisting disputes, marking the most recent action. The US disclosure around the same time of quietly expelling Iran's deputy UN ambassador last December for national security concerns added context but revealed no new moves. In the past 30 days, absent fresh espionage allegations, spying plots, or escalation signals, Kuwait's May summons of the Iranian ambassador—protesting an alleged IRGC incursion on Bubiyan Island—escalated rhetoric without triggering expulsion. With six weeks to June 30, traders weigh low near-term risk amid stabilized diplomatic tensions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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