Skip to main content
<1% โอกาส
Polymarket

$29,091 ปริมาณ

<1% โอกาส
Polymarket

$29,091 ปริมาณ

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming trader consensus against confirmation by the end of the month reflects the total absence of official statements, declassified materials, or credible reporting from US defense authorities on any program involving marine mammals in offensive roles. No executive actions, congressional briefings, or intelligence disclosures have surfaced in recent weeks to suggest a shift in military policy or capability announcements. Historical patterns of US armed forces disclosures indicate such developments typically follow extended review processes rather than rapid timelines. An unexpected declassification order or policy directive issued before the resolution deadline remains a remote possibility that could still alter the outcome, though current indicators show no basis for anticipating it.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.

Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.

Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,091
วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The overwhelming trader consensus against confirmation by the end of the month reflects the total absence of official statements, declassified materials, or credible reporting from US defense authorities on any program involving marine mammals in offensive roles. No executive actions, congressional briefings, or intelligence disclosures have surfaced in recent weeks to suggest a shift in military policy or capability announcements. Historical patterns of US armed forces disclosures indicate such developments typically follow extended review processes rather than rapid timelines. An unexpected declassification order or policy directive issued before the resolution deadline remains a remote possibility that could still alter the outcome, though current indicators show no basis for anticipating it.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.

Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.

Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,091
วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify. Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins. Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก

คำถามที่พบบ่อย

"US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?" เป็นตลาดทำนายผลบน Polymarket ที่นักเทรดซื้อและขายหุ้น "Yes" หรือ "No" ตามความเชื่อว่าเหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้นหรือไม่ ความน่าจะเป็นจากฝูงชนในปัจจุบันคือ 0% สำหรับ "Yes" ตัวอย่างเช่น ถ้า "Yes" มีราคา 0¢ แปลว่าตลาดให้โอกาส 0% ที่เหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้น อัตราเหล่านี้เปลี่ยนแปลงตลอดเวลาตามที่นักเทรดตอบสนองต่อข้อมูลและพัฒนาการใหม่ หุ้นในผลลัพธ์ที่ถูกต้องสามารถแลกได้ $1 ต่อหุ้นเมื่อตลาดตัดสินผล

ณ วันนี้ "US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?" มีปริมาณการซื้อขายรวม $29.1K ตั้งแต่ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ May 11, 2026 ระดับการซื้อขายนี้สะท้อนถึงการมีส่วนร่วมอย่างมากจากชุมชน Polymarket และช่วยให้อัตราปัจจุบันได้รับข้อมูลจากผู้เข้าร่วมตลาดจำนวนมาก คุณสามารถติดตามการเคลื่อนไหวของราคาแบบสดและเทรดผลลัพธ์ใดก็ได้จากหน้านี้โดยตรง

ในการเทรด "US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?" เพียงเลือกว่าคุณเชื่อว่าคำตอบคือ "Yes" หรือ "No" แต่ละฝั่งมีราคาปัจจุบันที่สะท้อนความน่าจะเป็นโดยนัยของตลาด ใส่จำนวนเงินแล้วกด "Trade" ถ้าคุณซื้อหุ้น "Yes" และผลลัพธ์ตัดสินเป็น "Yes" แต่ละหุ้นจ่าย $1 ถ้าตัดสินเป็น "No" หุ้น "Yes" ของคุณจ่าย $0 คุณยังสามารถขายหุ้นได้ตลอดเวลาก่อนการตัดสินผลหากต้องการล็อกกำไรหรือตัดขาดทุน

ความน่าจะเป็นปัจจุบันสำหรับ "US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?" คือ 0% สำหรับ "Yes" นั่นหมายความว่าฝูงชน Polymarket เชื่อว่ามีโอกาส 0% ที่เหตุการณ์นี้จะเกิดขึ้น อัตราเหล่านี้อัปเดตแบบเรียลไทม์ตามการเทรดจริง ให้สัญญาณที่อัปเดตต่อเนื่องว่าตลาดคาดว่าอะไรจะเกิดขึ้น

กฎการตัดสินผลของ "US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?" กำหนดอย่างชัดเจนว่าต้องเกิดอะไรขึ้นเพื่อให้แต่ละผลลัพธ์ถูกประกาศเป็นผู้ชนะ รวมถึงแหล่งข้อมูลอย่างเป็นทางการที่ใช้ตัดสินผล คุณสามารถตรวจสอบเกณฑ์การตัดสินผลทั้งหมดได้ในส่วน "กฎ" บนหน้านี้เหนือความคิดเห็น เราแนะนำให้อ่านกฎอย่างละเอียดก่อนเทรด เพราะกฎระบุเงื่อนไขเฉพาะ กรณีพิเศษ และแหล่งข้อมูลที่ควบคุมการตัดสินตลาดนี้