US-Iran negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program remain stalled after recent rounds in April and May, with Washington demanding a multi-year moratorium on uranium enrichment plus removal of the highly enriched stockpile while Tehran has offered only shorter pauses, monitored down-blending, or limits to civilian levels in later phases. Iranian counterproposals have consistently deferred core concessions until after a ceasefire or sanctions relief, and no public agreement or unilateral pledge to end enrichment has emerged ahead of the May 31 deadline. These gaps, reinforced by internal Iranian divisions and repeated statements from officials rejecting full dismantlement, underpin the strong trader consensus against an accord materializing in the remaining weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
$615,197 ปริมาณ
$615,197 ปริมาณ
$615,197 ปริมาณ
$615,197 ปริมาณ
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran negotiations over Tehran's nuclear program remain stalled after recent rounds in April and May, with Washington demanding a multi-year moratorium on uranium enrichment plus removal of the highly enriched stockpile while Tehran has offered only shorter pauses, monitored down-blending, or limits to civilian levels in later phases. Iranian counterproposals have consistently deferred core concessions until after a ceasefire or sanctions relief, and no public agreement or unilateral pledge to end enrichment has emerged ahead of the May 31 deadline. These gaps, reinforced by internal Iranian divisions and repeated statements from officials rejecting full dismantlement, underpin the strong trader consensus against an accord materializing in the remaining weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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