The U.S. House's narrow 212-212 rejection yesterday of a Democratic-led war powers resolution—marking the third such failure this year and the first since the May 1 60-day War Powers Act deadline—has solidified trader consensus at 95.6% against Congress passing any Iran war powers measure by May 31. Republicans, holding slim majorities in both chambers, have consistently blocked the resolutions invoking section 5(c) to limit President Trump's military operations, citing national security needs amid ongoing hostilities. With just over two weeks remaining, procedural hurdles like filibusters and whip counts make passage improbable absent a major escalation, bipartisan revolt, or public pressure shifting GOP holdouts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
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May 31, 2026
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ใหม่
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. House's narrow 212-212 rejection yesterday of a Democratic-led war powers resolution—marking the third such failure this year and the first since the May 1 60-day War Powers Act deadline—has solidified trader consensus at 95.6% against Congress passing any Iran war powers measure by May 31. Republicans, holding slim majorities in both chambers, have consistently blocked the resolutions invoking section 5(c) to limit President Trump's military operations, citing national security needs amid ongoing hostilities. With just over two weeks remaining, procedural hurdles like filibusters and whip counts make passage improbable absent a major escalation, bipartisan revolt, or public pressure shifting GOP holdouts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,520วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. House's narrow 212-212 rejection yesterday of a Democratic-led war powers resolution—marking the third such failure this year and the first since the May 1 60-day War Powers Act deadline—has solidified trader consensus at 95.6% against Congress passing any Iran war powers measure by May 31. Republicans, holding slim majorities in both chambers, have consistently blocked the resolutions invoking section 5(c) to limit President Trump's military operations, citing national security needs amid ongoing hostilities. With just over two weeks remaining, procedural hurdles like filibusters and whip counts make passage improbable absent a major escalation, bipartisan revolt, or public pressure shifting GOP holdouts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,520วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. House's narrow 212-212 rejection yesterday of a Democratic-led war powers resolution—marking the third such failure this year and the first since the May 1 60-day War Powers Act deadline—has solidified trader consensus at 95.6% against Congress passing any Iran war powers measure by May 31. Republicans, holding slim majorities in both chambers, have consistently blocked the resolutions invoking section 5(c) to limit President Trump's military operations, citing national security needs amid ongoing hostilities. With just over two weeks remaining, procedural hurdles like filibusters and whip counts make passage improbable absent a major escalation, bipartisan revolt, or public pressure shifting GOP holdouts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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