Ongoing diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on proposals to end regional conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues through indirect channels and envoys. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has held talks in Islamabad, Muscat, and New Delhi, conveying a 14-point framework while citing deep distrust over U.S. seriousness and past military actions. U.S. representatives including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner participated in an initial round in April, but subsequent meetings stalled amid disagreements on ceasefires in Lebanon and asset releases. With May 31 approaching, any resumption of direct or mediated sessions involving senior officials could shift trader assessments, particularly if mediators from Pakistan, Oman, or China facilitate progress before the deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$81,731 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Jared Kushner
21%
Steve Witkoff
21%
J.D. Vance
11%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
3%
$81,731 ปริมาณ
Jared Kushner
$22,710 ปริมาณ
21%
Steve Witkoff
$20,019 ปริมาณ
21%
J.D. Vance
$23,926 ปริมาณ
11%
Marco Rubio
$5,680 ปริมาณ
5%
Donald Trump
$9,397 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on proposals to end regional conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues through indirect channels and envoys. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has held talks in Islamabad, Muscat, and New Delhi, conveying a 14-point framework while citing deep distrust over U.S. seriousness and past military actions. U.S. representatives including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner participated in an initial round in April, but subsequent meetings stalled amid disagreements on ceasefires in Lebanon and asset releases. With May 31 approaching, any resumption of direct or mediated sessions involving senior officials could shift trader assessments, particularly if mediators from Pakistan, Oman, or China facilitate progress before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,731วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on proposals to end regional conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues through indirect channels and envoys. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has held talks in Islamabad, Muscat, and New Delhi, conveying a 14-point framework while citing deep distrust over U.S. seriousness and past military actions. U.S. representatives including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner participated in an initial round in April, but subsequent meetings stalled amid disagreements on ceasefires in Lebanon and asset releases. With May 31 approaching, any resumption of direct or mediated sessions involving senior officials could shift trader assessments, particularly if mediators from Pakistan, Oman, or China facilitate progress before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,731วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic efforts between the United States and Iran center on proposals to end regional conflict, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues through indirect channels and envoys. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has held talks in Islamabad, Muscat, and New Delhi, conveying a 14-point framework while citing deep distrust over U.S. seriousness and past military actions. U.S. representatives including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner participated in an initial round in April, but subsequent meetings stalled amid disagreements on ceasefires in Lebanon and asset releases. With May 31 approaching, any resumption of direct or mediated sessions involving senior officials could shift trader assessments, particularly if mediators from Pakistan, Oman, or China facilitate progress before the deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย