US naval operations to secure the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing Iran conflict remain the dominant factor shaping trader views, with American destroyers conducting mine-clearing transits and providing overwatch for commercial vessels in recent weeks. President Trump’s earlier calls for a multinational coalition involving the UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others have not produced confirmed additional warship deployments by early June, while Iran has issued explicit warnings against European naval involvement and maintains restrictions on the waterway. Stalled negotiations and the US-imposed blockade of Iranian ports continue to limit freedom of navigation, though US-led escort efforts have enabled dozens of transits. With the June 30 resolution date approaching, any new allied commitments or escalatory Iranian responses could shift participation dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
$164,625 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
United Kingdom
12%
France
8%
Germany
<1%
Italy
5%
Netherlands
3%
Japan
1%
Canada
3%
India
7%
Greece
4%
Pakistan
20%
United States
30%
Saudi Arabia
15%
UAE
13%
Bahrain
8%
Qatar
11%
Kuwait
10%
Oman
6%
South Korea
4%
Australia
6%
$164,625 ปริมาณ
United Kingdom
$49,641 ปริมาณ
12%
France
$64,239 ปริมาณ
8%
Germany
$11,480 ปริมาณ
<1%
Italy
$4,897 ปริมาณ
5%
Netherlands
$5,955 ปริมาณ
3%
Japan
$921 ปริมาณ
1%
Canada
$141 ปริมาณ
3%
India
$358 ปริมาณ
7%
Greece
$246 ปริมาณ
4%
Pakistan
$360 ปริมาณ
20%
United States
$5,565 ปริมาณ
30%
Saudi Arabia
$427 ปริมาณ
15%
UAE
$105 ปริมาณ
13%
Bahrain
$113 ปริมาณ
8%
Qatar
$8,407 ปริมาณ
11%
Kuwait
$175 ปริมาณ
10%
Oman
$133 ปริมาณ
6%
South Korea
$131 ปริมาณ
4%
Australia
$11,330 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.US naval operations to secure the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing Iran conflict remain the dominant factor shaping trader views, with American destroyers conducting mine-clearing transits and providing overwatch for commercial vessels in recent weeks. President Trump’s earlier calls for a multinational coalition involving the UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others have not produced confirmed additional warship deployments by early June, while Iran has issued explicit warnings against European naval involvement and maintains restrictions on the waterway. Stalled negotiations and the US-imposed blockade of Iranian ports continue to limit freedom of navigation, though US-led escort efforts have enabled dozens of transits. With the June 30 resolution date approaching, any new allied commitments or escalatory Iranian responses could shift participation dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$164,625วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.US naval operations to secure the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing Iran conflict remain the dominant factor shaping trader views, with American destroyers conducting mine-clearing transits and providing overwatch for commercial vessels in recent weeks. President Trump’s earlier calls for a multinational coalition involving the UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others have not produced confirmed additional warship deployments by early June, while Iran has issued explicit warnings against European naval involvement and maintains restrictions on the waterway. Stalled negotiations and the US-imposed blockade of Iranian ports continue to limit freedom of navigation, though US-led escort efforts have enabled dozens of transits. With the June 30 resolution date approaching, any new allied commitments or escalatory Iranian responses could shift participation dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$164,625วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US naval operations to secure the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing Iran conflict remain the dominant factor shaping trader views, with American destroyers conducting mine-clearing transits and providing overwatch for commercial vessels in recent weeks. President Trump’s earlier calls for a multinational coalition involving the UK, France, Japan, South Korea, and others have not produced confirmed additional warship deployments by early June, while Iran has issued explicit warnings against European naval involvement and maintains restrictions on the waterway. Stalled negotiations and the US-imposed blockade of Iranian ports continue to limit freedom of navigation, though US-led escort efforts have enabled dozens of transits. With the June 30 resolution date approaching, any new allied commitments or escalatory Iranian responses could shift participation dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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