Multiple high-profile officials in demanding roles face ongoing scrutiny amid recent cabinet turnover, including the ousters of Kristi Noem, Pam Bondi, and Lori Chavez-DeRemer plus Tulsi Gabbard’s planned June 2026 exit as director of national intelligence. Susie Wiles as chief of staff, Pete Hegseth at Defense, Mike Waltz in a national security post, and John Ratcliffe at the CIA lead the market because these positions involve intense policy execution, interagency coordination, and public accountability pressures. The narrow spread among top contenders reflects trader assessments of comparable risks from performance reviews, Senate dynamics, and White House staffing decisions, with separation likely to emerge from new announcements, confirmation votes, or shifts in administration priorities before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJohn Ratcliffe 36.0%
Mike Waltz 31.9%
Howard Lutnick 30%
Lee Zeldin 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
John Ratcliffe
36%
Mike Waltz
32%
Howard Lutnick
30%
Lee Zeldin
28%
Linda McMahon
19%
Jamieson Greer
19%
Russell T. Vought
18%
None before 2027
16%
Sean Duffy
19%
Scott Bessent
26%
Kelly Loeffler
6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%
Doug Collins
5%
Marco Rubio
5%
J.D. Vance
5%
Brooke Rollins
15%
Chris Wright
4%
Scott Turner
2%
Pete Hegseth
-
Doug Burgum
-
Susie Wiles
37%
John Ratcliffe 36.0%
Mike Waltz 31.9%
Howard Lutnick 30%
Lee Zeldin 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
John Ratcliffe
$115 ปริมาณ
36%
Mike Waltz
$126 ปริมาณ
32%
Howard Lutnick
$250 ปริมาณ
30%
Lee Zeldin
$132 ปริมาณ
28%
Linda McMahon
$209 ปริมาณ
19%
Jamieson Greer
$80 ปริมาณ
19%
Russell T. Vought
$150 ปริมาณ
18%
None before 2027
$226 ปริมาณ
16%
Sean Duffy
$162 ปริมาณ
19%
Scott Bessent
$469 ปริมาณ
26%
Kelly Loeffler
$308 ปริมาณ
6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$101 ปริมาณ
5%
Doug Collins
$76 ปริมาณ
5%
Marco Rubio
$75 ปริมาณ
5%
J.D. Vance
$171 ปริมาณ
5%
Brooke Rollins
$230 ปริมาณ
15%
Chris Wright
$132 ปริมาณ
4%
Scott Turner
$80 ปริมาณ
2%
Pete Hegseth
$118 ปริมาณ
-
Doug Burgum
$171 ปริมาณ
-
Susie Wiles
$227 ปริมาณ
37%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Multiple high-profile officials in demanding roles face ongoing scrutiny amid recent cabinet turnover, including the ousters of Kristi Noem, Pam Bondi, and Lori Chavez-DeRemer plus Tulsi Gabbard’s planned June 2026 exit as director of national intelligence. Susie Wiles as chief of staff, Pete Hegseth at Defense, Mike Waltz in a national security post, and John Ratcliffe at the CIA lead the market because these positions involve intense policy execution, interagency coordination, and public accountability pressures. The narrow spread among top contenders reflects trader assessments of comparable risks from performance reviews, Senate dynamics, and White House staffing decisions, with separation likely to emerge from new announcements, confirmation votes, or shifts in administration priorities before 2027.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 22, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,607วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Multiple high-profile officials in demanding roles face ongoing scrutiny amid recent cabinet turnover, including the ousters of Kristi Noem, Pam Bondi, and Lori Chavez-DeRemer plus Tulsi Gabbard’s planned June 2026 exit as director of national intelligence. Susie Wiles as chief of staff, Pete Hegseth at Defense, Mike Waltz in a national security post, and John Ratcliffe at the CIA lead the market because these positions involve intense policy execution, interagency coordination, and public accountability pressures. The narrow spread among top contenders reflects trader assessments of comparable risks from performance reviews, Senate dynamics, and White House staffing decisions, with separation likely to emerge from new announcements, confirmation votes, or shifts in administration priorities before 2027.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,607วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple high-profile officials in demanding roles face ongoing scrutiny amid recent cabinet turnover, including the ousters of Kristi Noem, Pam Bondi, and Lori Chavez-DeRemer plus Tulsi Gabbard’s planned June 2026 exit as director of national intelligence. Susie Wiles as chief of staff, Pete Hegseth at Defense, Mike Waltz in a national security post, and John Ratcliffe at the CIA lead the market because these positions involve intense policy execution, interagency coordination, and public accountability pressures. The narrow spread among top contenders reflects trader assessments of comparable risks from performance reviews, Senate dynamics, and White House staffing decisions, with separation likely to emerge from new announcements, confirmation votes, or shifts in administration priorities before 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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