The January 2026 U.S. special operations raid capturing Nicolás Maduro shifted U.S.-Venezuela dynamics toward economic leverage rather than sustained military confrontation. Trader sentiment on a future invasion by a set deadline reflects the subsequent August 2026 oil agreement granting U.S. entities major stakes in 17 fields with billions of barrels in reserves, paired with targeted sanctions relief and ongoing government-opposition talks under Delcy Rodríguez’s interim leadership. Recent September developments, including new OFAC licenses expanding oil transactions and U.S. company contract awards, have reinforced this trajectory. Key variables include progress on political transition timelines, earthquake recovery needs, congressional oversight of any escalation, and regional reactions from Colombia and others that could alter risk calculations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯจะบุกเวเนซุเอลาโดย...?
สหรัฐฯจะบุกเวเนซุเอลาโดย...?
$14,196,811 ปริมาณ
Mar 30, 2026
31 ธันวาคม
3%
$14,196,811 ปริมาณ
31 ธันวาคม
$240,803 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. special operations raid capturing Nicolás Maduro shifted U.S.-Venezuela dynamics toward economic leverage rather than sustained military confrontation. Trader sentiment on a future invasion by a set deadline reflects the subsequent August 2026 oil agreement granting U.S. entities major stakes in 17 fields with billions of barrels in reserves, paired with targeted sanctions relief and ongoing government-opposition talks under Delcy Rodríguez’s interim leadership. Recent September developments, including new OFAC licenses expanding oil transactions and U.S. company contract awards, have reinforced this trajectory. Key variables include progress on political transition timelines, earthquake recovery needs, congressional oversight of any escalation, and regional reactions from Colombia and others that could alter risk calculations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,196,811วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. special operations raid capturing Nicolás Maduro shifted U.S.-Venezuela dynamics toward economic leverage rather than sustained military confrontation. Trader sentiment on a future invasion by a set deadline reflects the subsequent August 2026 oil agreement granting U.S. entities major stakes in 17 fields with billions of barrels in reserves, paired with targeted sanctions relief and ongoing government-opposition talks under Delcy Rodríguez’s interim leadership. Recent September developments, including new OFAC licenses expanding oil transactions and U.S. company contract awards, have reinforced this trajectory. Key variables include progress on political transition timelines, earthquake recovery needs, congressional oversight of any escalation, and regional reactions from Colombia and others that could alter risk calculations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,196,811วันสิ้นสุด
Mar 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The January 2026 U.S. special operations raid capturing Nicolás Maduro shifted U.S.-Venezuela dynamics toward economic leverage rather than sustained military confrontation. Trader sentiment on a future invasion by a set deadline reflects the subsequent August 2026 oil agreement granting U.S. entities major stakes in 17 fields with billions of barrels in reserves, paired with targeted sanctions relief and ongoing government-opposition talks under Delcy Rodríguez’s interim leadership. Recent September developments, including new OFAC licenses expanding oil transactions and U.S. company contract awards, have reinforced this trajectory. Key variables include progress on political transition timelines, earthquake recovery needs, congressional oversight of any escalation, and regional reactions from Colombia and others that could alter risk calculations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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