Traders assign a 96.5% probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations outside of Watergate-era circumstances and the absence of verified developments indicating such a step. As of mid-2026, Trump has publicly discussed future political involvement, including joking references to extended service, while facing partisan speculation from opponents about midterm election pressures or fatigue with foreign policy challenges such as the Iran situation. No official announcements, health disclosures, or institutional actions point to an imminent departure, and confirmation processes or legislative dynamics have not produced the kind of sustained pressure seen in past high-profile exits. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a serious medical event, successful invocation of the 25th Amendment amid documented incapacity, or overwhelming midterm losses combined with internal party pressure prompting a voluntary exit before January 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว4% โอกาส
$23,403 ปริมาณ
$23,403 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4% โอกาส
$23,403 ปริมาณ
$23,403 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.5% probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations outside of Watergate-era circumstances and the absence of verified developments indicating such a step. As of mid-2026, Trump has publicly discussed future political involvement, including joking references to extended service, while facing partisan speculation from opponents about midterm election pressures or fatigue with foreign policy challenges such as the Iran situation. No official announcements, health disclosures, or institutional actions point to an imminent departure, and confirmation processes or legislative dynamics have not produced the kind of sustained pressure seen in past high-profile exits. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a serious medical event, successful invocation of the 25th Amendment amid documented incapacity, or overwhelming midterm losses combined with internal party pressure prompting a voluntary exit before January 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,403วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign a 96.5% probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations outside of Watergate-era circumstances and the absence of verified developments indicating such a step. As of mid-2026, Trump has publicly discussed future political involvement, including joking references to extended service, while facing partisan speculation from opponents about midterm election pressures or fatigue with foreign policy challenges such as the Iran situation. No official announcements, health disclosures, or institutional actions point to an imminent departure, and confirmation processes or legislative dynamics have not produced the kind of sustained pressure seen in past high-profile exits. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a serious medical event, successful invocation of the 25th Amendment amid documented incapacity, or overwhelming midterm losses combined with internal party pressure prompting a voluntary exit before January 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,403วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.5% probability that Donald Trump will not resign before 2027, reflecting the historical rarity of presidential resignations outside of Watergate-era circumstances and the absence of verified developments indicating such a step. As of mid-2026, Trump has publicly discussed future political involvement, including joking references to extended service, while facing partisan speculation from opponents about midterm election pressures or fatigue with foreign policy challenges such as the Iran situation. No official announcements, health disclosures, or institutional actions point to an imminent departure, and confirmation processes or legislative dynamics have not produced the kind of sustained pressure seen in past high-profile exits. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include a serious medical event, successful invocation of the 25th Amendment amid documented incapacity, or overwhelming midterm losses combined with internal party pressure prompting a voluntary exit before January 2027.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย