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icon for 3rd richest person on December 31?

3rd richest person on December 31?

icon for 3rd richest person on December 31?

3rd richest person on December 31?

Sergey Brin 48%

Warren Buffett 12.5%

Jeff Bezos 12%

Mark Zuckerberg 3.6%

Polymarket

$24,269 Vol.

Sergey Brin 48%

Warren Buffett 12.5%

Jeff Bezos 12%

Mark Zuckerberg 3.6%

Polymarket

$24,269 Vol.

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$371 Vol.

48%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$1,031 Vol.

11%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$327 Vol.

12%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$715 Vol.

4%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$13,421 Vol.

2%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$314 Vol.

2%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$726 Vol.

2%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$365 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$294 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$6,704 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page and Sergey Brin hold the strongest trader consensus for third-richest status by year-end, fueled by Alphabet's sustained AI-driven stock gains that have lifted their combined fortunes well ahead of most peers. Warren Buffett's near-parity odds reflect Berkshire Hathaway's steady performance and his conservative investment style, though his advanced age introduces volatility risks absent from the younger tech founders. Jeff Bezos and others trail as Amazon and broader market swings create more uncertainty, while Elon Musk's low probability stems from his dominant lead at the top. With six months remaining, stock market momentum, earnings reports, and any major asset shifts will likely decide the tight race among the frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$24,269
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Larry Page and Sergey Brin hold the strongest trader consensus for third-richest status by year-end, fueled by Alphabet's sustained AI-driven stock gains that have lifted their combined fortunes well ahead of most peers. Warren Buffett's near-parity odds reflect Berkshire Hathaway's steady performance and his conservative investment style, though his advanced age introduces volatility risks absent from the younger tech founders. Jeff Bezos and others trail as Amazon and broader market swings create more uncertainty, while Elon Musk's low probability stems from his dominant lead at the top. With six months remaining, stock market momentum, earnings reports, and any major asset shifts will likely decide the tight race among the frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$24,269
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "3rd richest person on December 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Sergey Brin" sa 48%, sinusundan ng "Larry Page" sa 37%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 48¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "3rd richest person on December 31?" ay naka-generate ng $24.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 30, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "3rd richest person on December 31?," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "3rd richest person on December 31?" ay "Sergey Brin" sa 48%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 48% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Larry Page" sa 37%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "3rd richest person on December 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.