Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 95.2% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that Elon Musk will hit all three 2026 milestones: surpassing $1 trillion net worth per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and achieving 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Midway through the year, Musk's fortune lingers around $800–840 billion amid Tesla shares slumping to the $430s on softening electric vehicle demand and Full Self-Driving (FSD) robotaxi regulatory delays, while only a handful of Starship flights have succeeded amid FAA hurdles pushing Flight 12 into mid-May, and no credible reports of a new baby have surfaced since his 14th child. Realistic shifts could arise from surprise FSD approvals sparking a Tesla rally toward trillionaire status, accelerated Starship cadence post-Flight 12, or an unexpected family announcement, though historical execution delays in autonomous driving approvals and launch timelines temper such optimism.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateElon Bull Run Parlay
Elon Bull Run Parlay
$10,235 Vol.
$10,235 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,235 Vol.
$10,235 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 95.2% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that Elon Musk will hit all three 2026 milestones: surpassing $1 trillion net worth per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and achieving 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Midway through the year, Musk's fortune lingers around $800–840 billion amid Tesla shares slumping to the $430s on softening electric vehicle demand and Full Self-Driving (FSD) robotaxi regulatory delays, while only a handful of Starship flights have succeeded amid FAA hurdles pushing Flight 12 into mid-May, and no credible reports of a new baby have surfaced since his 14th child. Realistic shifts could arise from surprise FSD approvals sparking a Tesla rally toward trillionaire status, accelerated Starship cadence post-Flight 12, or an unexpected family announcement, though historical execution delays in autonomous driving approvals and launch timelines temper such optimism.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,235Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 95.2% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that Elon Musk will hit all three 2026 milestones: surpassing $1 trillion net worth per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and achieving 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Midway through the year, Musk's fortune lingers around $800–840 billion amid Tesla shares slumping to the $430s on softening electric vehicle demand and Full Self-Driving (FSD) robotaxi regulatory delays, while only a handful of Starship flights have succeeded amid FAA hurdles pushing Flight 12 into mid-May, and no credible reports of a new baby have surfaced since his 14th child. Realistic shifts could arise from surprise FSD approvals sparking a Tesla rally toward trillionaire status, accelerated Starship cadence post-Flight 12, or an unexpected family announcement, though historical execution delays in autonomous driving approvals and launch timelines temper such optimism.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
Volume
$10,235Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at a near-certain 95.2% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting skepticism that Elon Musk will hit all three 2026 milestones: surpassing $1 trillion net worth per Bloomberg Billionaires Index, announcing another child, and achieving 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reaching 62-mile altitude. Midway through the year, Musk's fortune lingers around $800–840 billion amid Tesla shares slumping to the $430s on softening electric vehicle demand and Full Self-Driving (FSD) robotaxi regulatory delays, while only a handful of Starship flights have succeeded amid FAA hurdles pushing Flight 12 into mid-May, and no credible reports of a new baby have surfaced since his 14th child. Realistic shifts could arise from surprise FSD approvals sparking a Tesla rally toward trillionaire status, accelerated Starship cadence post-Flight 12, or an unexpected family announcement, though historical execution delays in autonomous driving approvals and launch timelines temper such optimism.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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