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Politika·Midterms

Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska

icon for Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska
Politika·Midterms

Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska

Tom Begich 39%

Bernadette Wilson 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.2%

Treg Taylor 10.2%

Polymarket

$972,641 Vol.

Tom Begich 39%

Bernadette Wilson 25%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 11.2%

Treg Taylor 10.2%

Polymarket

$972,641 Vol.

icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$115,001 Vol.

39%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$151,088 Vol.

25%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$7,305 Vol.

11%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$19,709 Vol.

10%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$9,212 Vol.

6%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$117,106 Vol.

5%

icon for David Bronson

David Bronson

$10,684 Vol.

5%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$29,625 Vol.

1%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$39,155 Vol.

1%

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$324,702 Vol.

<1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$5,573 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$104,135 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$8,371 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$9,044 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lisa Murkowski

Lisa Murkowski

$13,874 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$3,314 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$4,756 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich leads the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race in early polling and prediction market pricing because the open seat created by term-limited Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy has drawn a crowded field that fragments Republican support across multiple candidates. Recent surveys conducted in April show Begich, the early Democratic entrant and former state senator, holding double-digit advantages over the next closest contenders in a nonpartisan top-four primary system scheduled for August 18. Bernadette Wilson and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins follow in market odds, reflecting their respective positions among Republican and Democratic primary voters ahead of the November general election. Traders appear to price in the structural advantages of vote consolidation for the leading Democrat against a divided Republican primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$972,641
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Tom Begich leads the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race in early polling and prediction market pricing because the open seat created by term-limited Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy has drawn a crowded field that fragments Republican support across multiple candidates. Recent surveys conducted in April show Begich, the early Democratic entrant and former state senator, holding double-digit advantages over the next closest contenders in a nonpartisan top-four primary system scheduled for August 18. Bernadette Wilson and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins follow in market odds, reflecting their respective positions among Republican and Democratic primary voters ahead of the November general election. Traders appear to price in the structural advantages of vote consolidation for the leading Democrat against a divided Republican primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$972,641
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Tom Begich" sa 39%, sinusundan ng "Bernadette Wilson" sa 25%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 39¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 39% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay naka-generate ng $972.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Oct 13, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska ," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay "Tom Begich" sa 39%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 39% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Bernadette Wilson" sa 25%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nagwagi ng Halalan ng Gobernador ng Alaska " ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.