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Halalan·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Midterms

NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Adam Hamawy 74%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%

Susan Altman 8%

Brad Cohen 3.8%

Polymarket

$32,805 Vol.

Adam Hamawy 74%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 10%

Susan Altman 8%

Brad Cohen 3.8%

Polymarket

$32,805 Vol.

Adam Hamawy

$1,659 Vol.

74%

Verlina Reynolds-Jackson

$1,166 Vol.

10%

Susan Altman

$14,938 Vol.

8%

Brad Cohen

$2,026 Vol.

4%

Matthew Adams

$1,045 Vol.

3%

Kyle Little

$1,217 Vol.

1%

Elijah Dixon

$1,085 Vol.

1%

Tennille R. McCoy

$4,875 Vol.

1%

Raymond Heck

$1,385 Vol.

1%

Adrian Mapp

$1,046 Vol.

<1%

Michael Anderson

$2,364 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NJ-12 Democratic primary heavily favors Adam Hamawy at 75% implied probability, driven by his fundraising surge past $1 million announced May 13, a super PAC ad blitz by American Priorities totaling $1 million that boosted his name recognition, and a May 5-7 Workbench Strategy poll showing him at 19% among likely voters—up from 5% in early April—ahead of Sue Altman (12%), Brad Cohen (11%), and Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (10%) in a fragmented 13-candidate field to replace retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman. National progressive endorsements from Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Ilhan Omar, and Justice Democrats further solidify his position, while local party backing sustains odds for Reynolds-Jackson and Altman ahead of the June 2 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$32,805
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the NJ-12 Democratic primary heavily favors Adam Hamawy at 75% implied probability, driven by his fundraising surge past $1 million announced May 13, a super PAC ad blitz by American Priorities totaling $1 million that boosted his name recognition, and a May 5-7 Workbench Strategy poll showing him at 19% among likely voters—up from 5% in early April—ahead of Sue Altman (12%), Brad Cohen (11%), and Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (10%) in a fragmented 13-candidate field to replace retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman. National progressive endorsements from Sen. Bernie Sanders, Rep. Ilhan Omar, and Justice Democrats further solidify his position, while local party backing sustains odds for Reynolds-Jackson and Altman ahead of the June 2 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$32,805
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Adam Hamawy" sa 74%, sinusundan ng "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" sa 10%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 74¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $32.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 3, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Adam Hamawy" sa 74%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Verlina Reynolds-Jackson" sa 10%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.