Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite dozens of petitions, including over 50 against Alexandre de Moraes and others linked to investigations such as the Banco Master case. Structural requirements—a two-thirds Senate majority plus initiation typically restricted to the Prosecutor-General following recent procedural rulings—combined with Senate leadership shelving requests have preserved this record through mid-2026. The approaching October 2026 elections could alter Senate composition, yet the compressed timeline before 2027 and entrenched institutional protections limit prospects for successful removal. Trader consensus on "No" at 96.1% reflects these durable barriers, though a sudden legislative coalition or major scandal could still trigger proceedings within the narrow window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update4% tsansa
$83,296 Vol.
$83,296 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% tsansa
$83,296 Vol.
$83,296 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite dozens of petitions, including over 50 against Alexandre de Moraes and others linked to investigations such as the Banco Master case. Structural requirements—a two-thirds Senate majority plus initiation typically restricted to the Prosecutor-General following recent procedural rulings—combined with Senate leadership shelving requests have preserved this record through mid-2026. The approaching October 2026 elections could alter Senate composition, yet the compressed timeline before 2027 and entrenched institutional protections limit prospects for successful removal. Trader consensus on "No" at 96.1% reflects these durable barriers, though a sudden legislative coalition or major scandal could still trigger proceedings within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$83,296Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite dozens of petitions, including over 50 against Alexandre de Moraes and others linked to investigations such as the Banco Master case. Structural requirements—a two-thirds Senate majority plus initiation typically restricted to the Prosecutor-General following recent procedural rulings—combined with Senate leadership shelving requests have preserved this record through mid-2026. The approaching October 2026 elections could alter Senate composition, yet the compressed timeline before 2027 and entrenched institutional protections limit prospects for successful removal. Trader consensus on "No" at 96.1% reflects these durable barriers, though a sudden legislative coalition or major scandal could still trigger proceedings within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$83,296Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil's Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite dozens of petitions, including over 50 against Alexandre de Moraes and others linked to investigations such as the Banco Master case. Structural requirements—a two-thirds Senate majority plus initiation typically restricted to the Prosecutor-General following recent procedural rulings—combined with Senate leadership shelving requests have preserved this record through mid-2026. The approaching October 2026 elections could alter Senate composition, yet the compressed timeline before 2027 and entrenched institutional protections limit prospects for successful removal. Trader consensus on "No" at 96.1% reflects these durable barriers, though a sudden legislative coalition or major scandal could still trigger proceedings within the narrow window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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