Trader consensus on an 83% implied probability for "No" critical Discord incident by May 31 stems from the platform's demonstrated operational resilience following a major API error outage on May 8, which peaked at over 70,000 user reports on Downdetector but was resolved within hours without data loss or prolonged downtime—falling short of typical "critical" thresholds like widespread breaches or multi-day disruptions. A limited third-party data breach affecting customer support contacts around May 6 prompted swift disclosures and mitigation, but lacked the scale of past vulnerabilities, such as April's invite-link exploits. With no fresh outages or hacks in the last week and under three weeks to resolution, traders anticipate continued stability amid Discord's proactive security patching, though unexpected exploits remain a tail risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCritical Discord Incident by May 31?
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
$17,346 Vol.
$17,346 Vol.
May 31, 2026
$17,346 Vol.
$17,346 Vol.
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on an 83% implied probability for "No" critical Discord incident by May 31 stems from the platform's demonstrated operational resilience following a major API error outage on May 8, which peaked at over 70,000 user reports on Downdetector but was resolved within hours without data loss or prolonged downtime—falling short of typical "critical" thresholds like widespread breaches or multi-day disruptions. A limited third-party data breach affecting customer support contacts around May 6 prompted swift disclosures and mitigation, but lacked the scale of past vulnerabilities, such as April's invite-link exploits. With no fresh outages or hacks in the last week and under three weeks to resolution, traders anticipate continued stability amid Discord's proactive security patching, though unexpected exploits remain a tail risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$17,346Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on an 83% implied probability for "No" critical Discord incident by May 31 stems from the platform's demonstrated operational resilience following a major API error outage on May 8, which peaked at over 70,000 user reports on Downdetector but was resolved within hours without data loss or prolonged downtime—falling short of typical "critical" thresholds like widespread breaches or multi-day disruptions. A limited third-party data breach affecting customer support contacts around May 6 prompted swift disclosures and mitigation, but lacked the scale of past vulnerabilities, such as April's invite-link exploits. With no fresh outages or hacks in the last week and under three weeks to resolution, traders anticipate continued stability amid Discord's proactive security patching, though unexpected exploits remain a tail risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Volume
$17,346Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on an 83% implied probability for "No" critical Discord incident by May 31 stems from the platform's demonstrated operational resilience following a major API error outage on May 8, which peaked at over 70,000 user reports on Downdetector but was resolved within hours without data loss or prolonged downtime—falling short of typical "critical" thresholds like widespread breaches or multi-day disruptions. A limited third-party data breach affecting customer support contacts around May 6 prompted swift disclosures and mitigation, but lacked the scale of past vulnerabilities, such as April's invite-link exploits. With no fresh outages or hacks in the last week and under three weeks to resolution, traders anticipate continued stability amid Discord's proactive security patching, though unexpected exploits remain a tail risk.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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