**Ashley Moody holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for Miami-Dade County in Florida’s November 2026 U.S. Senate special election, reflecting the county’s Democratic lean offset by her statewide incumbency advantages and Republican structural edge.** Moody, appointed to the seat after Marco Rubio’s departure and confirmed as the GOP nominee following an easy August primary win, benefits from superior fundraising and broad law-enforcement support. Angie Nixon, the Democratic nominee after her surprise primary victory over Alex Vindman, demonstrated strength in Miami-Dade with a 19-point margin there driven by turnout among Black, young, and urban voters focused on affordability issues. The county remains closely contested because its diverse electorate can deliver high Democratic margins that test Moody’s broader appeal, while Nixon’s limited statewide resources and Florida’s recent Republican dominance constrain her path. No major post-primary developments have yet shifted the balance, leaving room for late polling, turnout mobilization, or campaign events in the final weeks to widen or close the gap.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateBAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Moody (R)
49%
Angie Nixon (D)
44%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Moody (R)
$124 Vol.
49%
Angie Nixon (D)
$100 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.**Ashley Moody holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for Miami-Dade County in Florida’s November 2026 U.S. Senate special election, reflecting the county’s Democratic lean offset by her statewide incumbency advantages and Republican structural edge.** Moody, appointed to the seat after Marco Rubio’s departure and confirmed as the GOP nominee following an easy August primary win, benefits from superior fundraising and broad law-enforcement support. Angie Nixon, the Democratic nominee after her surprise primary victory over Alex Vindman, demonstrated strength in Miami-Dade with a 19-point margin there driven by turnout among Black, young, and urban voters focused on affordability issues. The county remains closely contested because its diverse electorate can deliver high Democratic margins that test Moody’s broader appeal, while Nixon’s limited statewide resources and Florida’s recent Republican dominance constrain her path. No major post-primary developments have yet shifted the balance, leaving room for late polling, turnout mobilization, or campaign events in the final weeks to widen or close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ET
Volume
$224Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.**Ashley Moody holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for Miami-Dade County in Florida’s November 2026 U.S. Senate special election, reflecting the county’s Democratic lean offset by her statewide incumbency advantages and Republican structural edge.** Moody, appointed to the seat after Marco Rubio’s departure and confirmed as the GOP nominee following an easy August primary win, benefits from superior fundraising and broad law-enforcement support. Angie Nixon, the Democratic nominee after her surprise primary victory over Alex Vindman, demonstrated strength in Miami-Dade with a 19-point margin there driven by turnout among Black, young, and urban voters focused on affordability issues. The county remains closely contested because its diverse electorate can deliver high Democratic margins that test Moody’s broader appeal, while Nixon’s limited statewide resources and Florida’s recent Republican dominance constrain her path. No major post-primary developments have yet shifted the balance, leaving room for late polling, turnout mobilization, or campaign events in the final weeks to widen or close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Miami-Dade County in the general special election for United States Senator from Florida, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Florida, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Miami-Dade County.
Volume
$224Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 1, 2026, 12:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ashley Moody holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for Miami-Dade County in Florida’s November 2026 U.S. Senate special election, reflecting the county’s Democratic lean offset by her statewide incumbency advantages and Republican structural edge.** Moody, appointed to the seat after Marco Rubio’s departure and confirmed as the GOP nominee following an easy August primary win, benefits from superior fundraising and broad law-enforcement support. Angie Nixon, the Democratic nominee after her surprise primary victory over Alex Vindman, demonstrated strength in Miami-Dade with a 19-point margin there driven by turnout among Black, young, and urban voters focused on affordability issues. The county remains closely contested because its diverse electorate can deliver high Democratic margins that test Moody’s broader appeal, while Nixon’s limited statewide resources and Florida’s recent Republican dominance constrain her path. No major post-primary developments have yet shifted the balance, leaving room for late polling, turnout mobilization, or campaign events in the final weeks to widen or close the gap.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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