Guinea-Bissau’s upcoming December 2026 legislative vote occurs under transitional military rule following the 2025 coup and a newly approved constitution that shrinks the National People’s Assembly from 102 to 65 seats while altering constituency boundaries. The recent referendum, backed by roughly 70 percent of participants despite a boycott by major opposition groups such as the PAIGC, has introduced greater presidential authority over cabinet formation and parliamentary dissolution, heightening uncertainty about how power will be distributed among competing lists. With no party exceeding low-20s implied probability in the fragmented field, trader consensus reflects limited consolidation, historical multiparty competition, and questions over participation rules, residency requirements, and potential military or alliance alignments that could still shift momentum before polling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateGuinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
FREPASNA 22.6%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 12.3%
PT 5.9%
FLING 4.1%
$159,112 Vol.
$159,112 Vol.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
18%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
12%
PT
6%
FLING
4%
PS
3%
MUNDO-GB
3%
FREPASNA 22.6%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” 12.3%
PT 5.9%
FLING 4.1%
$159,112 Vol.
$159,112 Vol.
Nov 22, 2025
FREPASNA
$26,748 Vol.
18%
Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”
$48,541 Vol.
12%
PT
$21,871 Vol.
6%
FLING
$12,947 Vol.
4%
PS
$26,121 Vol.
3%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 Vol.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s upcoming December 2026 legislative vote occurs under transitional military rule following the 2025 coup and a newly approved constitution that shrinks the National People’s Assembly from 102 to 65 seats while altering constituency boundaries. The recent referendum, backed by roughly 70 percent of participants despite a boycott by major opposition groups such as the PAIGC, has introduced greater presidential authority over cabinet formation and parliamentary dissolution, heightening uncertainty about how power will be distributed among competing lists. With no party exceeding low-20s implied probability in the fragmented field, trader consensus reflects limited consolidation, historical multiparty competition, and questions over participation rules, residency requirements, and potential military or alliance alignments that could still shift momentum before polling.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$159,112Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 23, 2025Binuksan ang Market
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau’s upcoming December 2026 legislative vote occurs under transitional military rule following the 2025 coup and a newly approved constitution that shrinks the National People’s Assembly from 102 to 65 seats while altering constituency boundaries. The recent referendum, backed by roughly 70 percent of participants despite a boycott by major opposition groups such as the PAIGC, has introduced greater presidential authority over cabinet formation and parliamentary dissolution, heightening uncertainty about how power will be distributed among competing lists. With no party exceeding low-20s implied probability in the fragmented field, trader consensus reflects limited consolidation, historical multiparty competition, and questions over participation rules, residency requirements, and potential military or alliance alignments that could still shift momentum before polling.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Volume
$159,112Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 23, 2025Binuksan ang Market
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Guinea-Bissau’s upcoming December 2026 legislative vote occurs under transitional military rule following the 2025 coup and a newly approved constitution that shrinks the National People’s Assembly from 102 to 65 seats while altering constituency boundaries. The recent referendum, backed by roughly 70 percent of participants despite a boycott by major opposition groups such as the PAIGC, has introduced greater presidential authority over cabinet formation and parliamentary dissolution, heightening uncertainty about how power will be distributed among competing lists. With no party exceeding low-20s implied probability in the fragmented field, trader consensus reflects limited consolidation, historical multiparty competition, and questions over participation rules, residency requirements, and potential military or alliance alignments that could still shift momentum before polling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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