Forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Ankara on August 16 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and modest boundary-layer mixing. Recent model runs emphasize strong insolation amid a stable high-pressure ridge, typical for mid-August climatology where long-term averages reach 29–31°C, though short-term variability in cloud cover or wind could trim the peak by 1–2°C. This uncertainty, combined with the narrow resolution bands and proximity to event day, underpins the market-implied distribution favoring 27°C and 28°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest guidance against historical station data from Esenboğa. Updated forecasts from agencies like MGM and international ensembles will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Ankara on August 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 16?
27°C 52%
28°C 32%
26°C 14%
29°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
52%
28°C
32%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 52%
28°C 32%
26°C 14%
29°C 5%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$321 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$153 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$218 Vol.
1%
26°C
$720 Vol.
14%
27°C
$1,120 Vol.
52%
28°C
$854 Vol.
32%
29°C
$244 Vol.
5%
30°C
$296 Vol.
1%
31°C
$196 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$148 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Ankara on August 16 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and modest boundary-layer mixing. Recent model runs emphasize strong insolation amid a stable high-pressure ridge, typical for mid-August climatology where long-term averages reach 29–31°C, though short-term variability in cloud cover or wind could trim the peak by 1–2°C. This uncertainty, combined with the narrow resolution bands and proximity to event day, underpins the market-implied distribution favoring 27°C and 28°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest guidance against historical station data from Esenboğa. Updated forecasts from agencies like MGM and international ensembles will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,401Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Ankara on August 16 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and modest boundary-layer mixing. Recent model runs emphasize strong insolation amid a stable high-pressure ridge, typical for mid-August climatology where long-term averages reach 29–31°C, though short-term variability in cloud cover or wind could trim the peak by 1–2°C. This uncertainty, combined with the narrow resolution bands and proximity to event day, underpins the market-implied distribution favoring 27°C and 28°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest guidance against historical station data from Esenboğa. Updated forecasts from agencies like MGM and international ensembles will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,401Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from numerical weather prediction models points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Ankara on August 16 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow and modest boundary-layer mixing. Recent model runs emphasize strong insolation amid a stable high-pressure ridge, typical for mid-August climatology where long-term averages reach 29–31°C, though short-term variability in cloud cover or wind could trim the peak by 1–2°C. This uncertainty, combined with the narrow resolution bands and proximity to event day, underpins the market-implied distribution favoring 27°C and 28°C outcomes as traders weigh the latest guidance against historical station data from Esenboğa. Updated forecasts from agencies like MGM and international ensembles will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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