Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8, 2026, around 32–34 °C because long-range and short-term model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional forecasts place daily maxima in that narrow band. Chengdu’s early-August climatology features average highs near 31–32 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with the Sichuan Basin’s topography trapping heat while frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limit extreme peaks. Current outlooks show partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances that should cap insolation and prevent significant warming above 34 °C, yet stable subtropical air masses keep the floor from dropping below 31 °C. No heat-wave alerts or anomalous ridging appear in the latest runs, reinforcing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the historical mean rather than tails of the distribution. Updated model cycles closer to the date will be the next key data points for any shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 8?
33°C 31%
34°C 18%
32°C 16%
31°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
16%
33°C
31%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
5%
33°C 31%
34°C 18%
32°C 16%
31°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
13%
32°C
16%
33°C
31%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 8, 2026, around 32–34 °C because long-range and short-term model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and regional forecasts place daily maxima in that narrow band. Chengdu’s early-August climatology features average highs near 31–32 °C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with the Sichuan Basin’s topography trapping heat while frequent cloud cover and scattered showers limit extreme peaks. Current outlooks show partly cloudy skies and light precipitation chances that should cap insolation and prevent significant warming above 34 °C, yet stable subtropical air masses keep the floor from dropping below 31 °C. No heat-wave alerts or anomalous ridging appear in the latest runs, reinforcing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around the historical mean rather than tails of the distribution. Updated model cycles closer to the date will be the next key data points for any shifts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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