Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather place the Dallas high for August 26 near 104°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge driving subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating. This aligns with observed 106°F readings earlier in the week and supports the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100-103°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on modest moderation from peak heat-wave conditions. Southwest winds and slightly increasing Gulf moisture may temper maximums compared to prior days, while the low probability assigned to 106°F+ outcomes accounts for the small chance of drier, stronger downslope flow. Updated model runs and official point forecasts expected overnight will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Dallas on August 26?
100-101°F 39%
102-103°F 28%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 16%
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
39%
102-103°F
28%
104-105°F
16%
106-107°F
7%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
4%
114°F or higher
4%
100-101°F 39%
102-103°F 28%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 16%
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
39%
102-103°F
28%
104-105°F
16%
106-107°F
7%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
4%
114°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather place the Dallas high for August 26 near 104°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge driving subsidence, clear skies, and strong daytime heating. This aligns with observed 106°F readings earlier in the week and supports the market’s heaviest weighting on the 100-103°F bins, reflecting trader consensus on modest moderation from peak heat-wave conditions. Southwest winds and slightly increasing Gulf moisture may temper maximums compared to prior days, while the low probability assigned to 106°F+ outcomes accounts for the small chance of drier, stronger downslope flow. Updated model runs and official point forecasts expected overnight will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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