Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other models points to a daily maximum near 19°C in Helsinki on August 27 under overcast skies, light southerly winds, and stable late-summer conditions that limit daytime heating. This places the outcome near the lower edge of trader-implied probabilities, where the narrow spread between 21°C (38.5%) and 22°C (29.5%) versus 20°C (21.5%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact peak timing and any modest model adjustments to cloud cover or advection ahead of the 48-hour window. Historical August climatology for the Helsinki-Vantaa station shows typical highs declining from 21°C early in the month toward 17°C by month-end, underscoring how small deviations in steering patterns can shift the recorded maximum across the closely contested bins. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next day will likely tighten or shift these odds as resolution criteria based on the highest observed temperature approach.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 27?
21°C 39%
22°C 30%
20°C 20%
23°C 7%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
39%
22°C
30%
23°C
7%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 39%
22°C 30%
20°C 20%
23°C 7%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
39%
22°C
30%
23°C
7%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and other models points to a daily maximum near 19°C in Helsinki on August 27 under overcast skies, light southerly winds, and stable late-summer conditions that limit daytime heating. This places the outcome near the lower edge of trader-implied probabilities, where the narrow spread between 21°C (38.5%) and 22°C (29.5%) versus 20°C (21.5%) reflects genuine uncertainty in exact peak timing and any modest model adjustments to cloud cover or advection ahead of the 48-hour window. Historical August climatology for the Helsinki-Vantaa station shows typical highs declining from 21°C early in the month toward 17°C by month-end, underscoring how small deviations in steering patterns can shift the recorded maximum across the closely contested bins. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next day will likely tighten or shift these odds as resolution criteria based on the highest observed temperature approach.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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