Strong forecast consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models drives the 96.5% market-implied odds for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher on September 2 in Jinan. Current guidance projects daytime highs of 29–31°C under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 3–4 levels and negligible precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology for the North China Plain region. Official station measurements and ensemble model runs show minimal spread, supporting trader confidence in exceeding the threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or increased cloud cover altering the thermal profile before peak heating, though no such signals appear in the latest updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Jinan on September 2?
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 8%
21°C 4%
22°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
25°C 8%
21°C 4%
22°C 4%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong forecast consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models drives the 96.5% market-implied odds for a highest temperature of 26°C or higher on September 2 in Jinan. Current guidance projects daytime highs of 29–31°C under mostly sunny skies with northeast winds of 3–4 levels and negligible precipitation, consistent with early-September climatology for the North China Plain region. Official station measurements and ensemble model runs show minimal spread, supporting trader confidence in exceeding the threshold. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front or increased cloud cover altering the thermal profile before peak heating, though no such signals appear in the latest updates.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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