Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS places Moscow’s October 13 maximum near 11–13 °C under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and periods of showers. These conditions limit daytime heating while a cool maritime air mass suppresses the thermal peak, keeping values close to or slightly above the early-October climatological mean. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 11–12 °C because small shifts in frontal timing, wind direction, or precipitation intensity can easily move the observed high by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official guidance from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateView resolved

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