Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum near 20–21°C for Moscow on September 9, driven by clearing skies after overnight lows around 7–8°C, light variable winds, and moderate solar heating under partly cloudy conditions that limit full insolation. This places the outcome slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C, consistent with a warming trend noted by the Hydrometeorological Center. Minor model spread in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing creates the tight 45%–43% split between 21°C and 20°C implied probabilities, while lower outcomes would require unexpected persistent cloud cover or stronger northerly flow. Official Roshydromet surface observations at standard stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Moscow on September 9?
21°C 45%
20°C 43%
19°C 7%
22°C 6%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
43%
21°C
45%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 45%
20°C 43%
19°C 7%
22°C 6%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
43%
21°C
45%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum near 20–21°C for Moscow on September 9, driven by clearing skies after overnight lows around 7–8°C, light variable winds, and moderate solar heating under partly cloudy conditions that limit full insolation. This places the outcome slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 17.7°C, consistent with a warming trend noted by the Hydrometeorological Center. Minor model spread in afternoon cloud development or boundary-layer mixing creates the tight 45%–43% split between 21°C and 20°C implied probabilities, while lower outcomes would require unexpected persistent cloud cover or stronger northerly flow. Official Roshydromet surface observations at standard stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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