Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum of 21–22°C for São Paulo on August 26, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds near those thresholds. Persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and possible scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating during this late-winter period, when climatological averages hover near 22°C. Official guidance shows minimal model spread, with temperatures unlikely to reach 23°C or higher absent stronger insolation or reduced moisture. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated regional model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 26?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 26?
21°C 32%
22°C 31%
23°C 17%
20°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
32%
22°C
31%
23°C
17%
24°C
10%
25°C
12%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 32%
22°C 31%
23°C 17%
20°C 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 26, 2026
17°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$5 Vol.
3%
20°C
$21 Vol.
14%
21°C
$67 Vol.
32%
22°C
$57 Vol.
31%
23°C
$113 Vol.
17%
24°C
$43 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
12%
26°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum of 21–22°C for São Paulo on August 26, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds near those thresholds. Persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and possible scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating during this late-winter period, when climatological averages hover near 22°C. Official guidance shows minimal model spread, with temperatures unlikely to reach 23°C or higher absent stronger insolation or reduced moisture. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated regional model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$306Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum of 21–22°C for São Paulo on August 26, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds near those thresholds. Persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and possible scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating during this late-winter period, when climatological averages hover near 22°C. Official guidance shows minimal model spread, with temperatures unlikely to reach 23°C or higher absent stronger insolation or reduced moisture. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated regional model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$306Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a maximum of 21–22°C for São Paulo on August 26, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds near those thresholds. Persistent cloud cover, light easterly winds, and possible scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating during this late-winter period, when climatological averages hover near 22°C. Official guidance shows minimal model spread, with temperatures unlikely to reach 23°C or higher absent stronger insolation or reduced moisture. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions against minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing that could shift the daily peak by 1°C. Updated regional model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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