Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight range for Tel Aviv’s September 17 maximum, with peak heating expected under clear skies and light northwesterly flow that limits marine moderation along the coast. Subtle differences between 34°C and 35°C hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact sea-breeze onset timing, and minor variations in model-resolved dew-point depression and wind gusts. Historical September maxima near 29–30°C provide context, yet current stable high pressure and low cloud cover support the elevated trader-implied odds. Final Israel Meteorological Service guidance and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely resolve the narrow spread between these leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?
34°C 47%
35°C 44%
33°C 11%
36°C 6%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
47%
35°C
44%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
34°C 47%
35°C 44%
33°C 11%
36°C 6%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
47%
35°C
44%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate a tight range for Tel Aviv’s September 17 maximum, with peak heating expected under clear skies and light northwesterly flow that limits marine moderation along the coast. Subtle differences between 34°C and 35°C hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, exact sea-breeze onset timing, and minor variations in model-resolved dew-point depression and wind gusts. Historical September maxima near 29–30°C provide context, yet current stable high pressure and low cloud cover support the elevated trader-implied odds. Final Israel Meteorological Service guidance and updated model runs ahead of the date will likely resolve the narrow spread between these leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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