**Current model consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 4, 2026, driven by a persistent moist, overcast air mass with westerly flow.** Forecasts from sources such as Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS-based outlooks show highs clustered around 21°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with moderate southwest-to-west winds of 4–7 m/s and a chance of light rain or showers that further limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 20–22°C amid transitional autumn patterns. The market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (41.5%), 22°C (28.5%), and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this tight model agreement, while lower probabilities for 23°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of final verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 4?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 4?
21°C 42%
20°C 25%
22°C 20%
23°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
25%
21°C
42%
22°C
20%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
21°C 42%
20°C 25%
22°C 20%
23°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 4, 2026
18°C or below
$20 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$151 Vol.
25%
21°C
$264 Vol.
42%
22°C
$196 Vol.
20%
23°C
$150 Vol.
11%
24°C
$90 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
3%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 4, 2026, driven by a persistent moist, overcast air mass with westerly flow.**
Forecasts from sources such as Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS-based outlooks show highs clustered around 21°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with moderate southwest-to-west winds of 4–7 m/s and a chance of light rain or showers that further limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 20–22°C amid transitional autumn patterns. The market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (41.5%), 22°C (28.5%), and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this tight model agreement, while lower probabilities for 23°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$830Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 4, 2026, driven by a persistent moist, overcast air mass with westerly flow.**
Forecasts from sources such as Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS-based outlooks show highs clustered around 21°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with moderate southwest-to-west winds of 4–7 m/s and a chance of light rain or showers that further limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 20–22°C amid transitional autumn patterns. The market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (41.5%), 22°C (28.5%), and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this tight model agreement, while lower probabilities for 23°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$830Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current model consensus from multiple sources points to a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Warsaw on September 4, 2026, driven by a persistent moist, overcast air mass with westerly flow.** Forecasts from sources such as Yr.no, WeatherBug, and GFS-based outlooks show highs clustered around 21°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with moderate southwest-to-west winds of 4–7 m/s and a chance of light rain or showers that further limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where typical maxima hover near 20–22°C amid transitional autumn patterns. The market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C (41.5%), 22°C (28.5%), and 20°C (20.5%) reflects this tight model agreement, while lower probabilities for 23°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact cloud cover and precipitation timing. No significant forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping the distribution stable ahead of final verification.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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