Recent announcements show roughly 20 Democratic House members declining to seek re-election in 2026, including longtime figures such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, and Jan Schakowsky, amid a broader wave of retirements driven by age, personal timing, and opportunities in state or Senate races. With filing deadlines still months away, trader consensus around the 32–35 range reflects expectations that additional departures will materialize from competitive districts or members weighing redistricting effects and primary challenges. Key variables include the pace of further statements from incumbents over age 70, shifts in district maps, and any late decisions to pursue higher office, all of which could narrow the range as more concrete commitments emerge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update32–35 32.0%
28–31 20%
24–27 19%
20–23 13.1%
$31,654 Vol.
$31,654 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<20
3%
20–23
13%
24–27
19%
28–31
20%
32–35
32%
36–39
3%
40+
16%
32–35 32.0%
28–31 20%
24–27 19%
20–23 13.1%
$31,654 Vol.
$31,654 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<20
$16,991 Vol.
3%
20–23
$5,250 Vol.
13%
24–27
$4,156 Vol.
19%
28–31
$1,174 Vol.
20%
32–35
$3,574 Vol.
32%
36–39
$508 Vol.
3%
40+
$0 Vol.
16%
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent announcements show roughly 20 Democratic House members declining to seek re-election in 2026, including longtime figures such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, and Jan Schakowsky, amid a broader wave of retirements driven by age, personal timing, and opportunities in state or Senate races. With filing deadlines still months away, trader consensus around the 32–35 range reflects expectations that additional departures will materialize from competitive districts or members weighing redistricting effects and primary challenges. Key variables include the pace of further statements from incumbents over age 70, shifts in district maps, and any late decisions to pursue higher office, all of which could narrow the range as more concrete commitments emerge.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Volume
$31,654Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent announcements show roughly 20 Democratic House members declining to seek re-election in 2026, including longtime figures such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, and Jan Schakowsky, amid a broader wave of retirements driven by age, personal timing, and opportunities in state or Senate races. With filing deadlines still months away, trader consensus around the 32–35 range reflects expectations that additional departures will materialize from competitive districts or members weighing redistricting effects and primary challenges. Key variables include the pace of further statements from incumbents over age 70, shifts in district maps, and any late decisions to pursue higher office, all of which could narrow the range as more concrete commitments emerge.
The 2026 U.S. general elections for Congress are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the total number of Democratic members of the U.S. House of Representatives who are considered to be retiring or not seeking reelection in 2026.
For the purposes of this market, a member may be considered not to seek reelection if:
• They publicly announce they are retiring from Congress and will not run for reelection to their current seat
• They choose to run for a different elected office in 2026 instead of running for reelection to their current seat
• They do not seek their party’s nomination for reelection to their current seat, meaning they neither file for reelection nor participate in their party’s nominating process (such as a primary, convention, or caucus)
Only members whose current term is scheduled to end with the 2026 regular election for the House may qualify for this market.
This market will not resolve until after the relevant final 2026 candidate filing deadline has passed in all states, which is expected to occur in late August 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$31,654Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Dec 12, 2025, 6:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent announcements show roughly 20 Democratic House members declining to seek re-election in 2026, including longtime figures such as Nancy Pelosi, Steny Hoyer, and Jan Schakowsky, amid a broader wave of retirements driven by age, personal timing, and opportunities in state or Senate races. With filing deadlines still months away, trader consensus around the 32–35 range reflects expectations that additional departures will materialize from competitive districts or members weighing redistricting effects and primary challenges. Key variables include the pace of further statements from incumbents over age 70, shifts in district maps, and any late decisions to pursue higher office, all of which could narrow the range as more concrete commitments emerge.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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