**Recent polling averages place the reunified Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) in the 6–8 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with several surveys from mid-September showing 7–8 seats.** Trader consensus favoring 8–9 seats reflects expectations that Arab-list unity, a surplus-vote agreement signed with Ra’am on September 12, and higher turnout among Arab voters could push the alliance toward the upper end of projections. The list cleared Central Elections Committee review despite disqualification petitions and faces competition for Arab votes from Ra’am, which polls separately at 4–6 seats. Broader campaign dynamics, including bloc deadlock between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties, have kept Arab-party performance relatively stable in recent weeks, though final results remain sensitive to turnout and any late shifts in voter preferences.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update8-9 42%
<6 19%
6-7 19%
10-11 16%
<6
19%
6-7
21%
8-9
42%
10-11
19%
12+
3%
8-9 42%
<6 19%
6-7 19%
10-11 16%
<6
19%
6-7
21%
8-9
42%
10-11
19%
12+
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages place the reunified Joint List (Hadash–Ta'al–Balad) in the 6–8 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with several surveys from mid-September showing 7–8 seats.** Trader consensus favoring 8–9 seats reflects expectations that Arab-list unity, a surplus-vote agreement signed with Ra’am on September 12, and higher turnout among Arab voters could push the alliance toward the upper end of projections. The list cleared Central Elections Committee review despite disqualification petitions and faces competition for Arab votes from Ra’am, which polls separately at 4–6 seats. Broader campaign dynamics, including bloc deadlock between Netanyahu-aligned and opposition parties, have kept Arab-party performance relatively stable in recent weeks, though final results remain sensitive to turnout and any late shifts in voter preferences.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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