Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit near 7–8 seats in the October 2026 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 6 to 9 as the right-wing bloc hovers around 51–55 seats overall. Tight trader pricing between the 6–7 and 8–9 brackets reflects this narrow band and modest week-to-week movement in surveys from houses such as Kantar, Midgam, and Zman Yisrael. Factors sustaining the close contest include competition for right-wing voters among Likud, Religious Zionism, and smaller lists, Ben-Gvir’s slate adjustments aimed at Haredi and settler constituencies, and the broader Netanyahu bloc’s difficulty expanding beyond its current ceiling. Further separation could follow decisive shifts in security conditions, turnout among religious or periphery voters, or clearer signals on post-election coalition alignments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update6-7 30%
8-9 26%
4-5 16%
10+ 16%
<4
2%
4-5
16%
6-7
31%
8-9
26%
10+
17%
6-7 30%
8-9 26%
4-5 16%
10+ 16%
<4
2%
4-5
16%
6-7
31%
8-9
26%
10+
17%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit near 7–8 seats in the October 2026 Knesset election, with individual surveys ranging from 6 to 9 as the right-wing bloc hovers around 51–55 seats overall. Tight trader pricing between the 6–7 and 8–9 brackets reflects this narrow band and modest week-to-week movement in surveys from houses such as Kantar, Midgam, and Zman Yisrael. Factors sustaining the close contest include competition for right-wing voters among Likud, Religious Zionism, and smaller lists, Ben-Gvir’s slate adjustments aimed at Haredi and settler constituencies, and the broader Netanyahu bloc’s difficulty expanding beyond its current ceiling. Further separation could follow decisive shifts in security conditions, turnout among religious or periphery voters, or clearer signals on post-election coalition alignments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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