**Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly 7–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with the 8–9 range emerging as the modal outcome in most surveys.** The party’s hardline position on ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions has driven measurable voter leakage to Otzma Yehudit and Likud, while Shas has responded by adding military reservists to its slate and softening its public messaging to retain traditional Sephardi and Zionist-leaning supporters. Internal leadership tensions between Aryeh Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef, plus competition within the broader religious-right bloc, add volatility. Traders’ concentration on 8–9 seats reflects these cross-pressures and the limited remaining campaign window for major shifts in Haredi turnout or bloc realignment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update8-9 33%
6-7 18%
10-11 17%
12+ 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<6
5%
6-7
18%
8-9
34%
10-11
20%
12+
16%
8-9 33%
6-7 18%
10-11 17%
12+ 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$485 Vol.
5%
6-7
$1,412 Vol.
18%
8-9
$945 Vol.
34%
10-11
$750 Vol.
20%
12+
$1,617 Vol.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly 7–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with the 8–9 range emerging as the modal outcome in most surveys.** The party’s hardline position on ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions has driven measurable voter leakage to Otzma Yehudit and Likud, while Shas has responded by adding military reservists to its slate and softening its public messaging to retain traditional Sephardi and Zionist-leaning supporters. Internal leadership tensions between Aryeh Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef, plus competition within the broader religious-right bloc, add volatility. Traders’ concentration on 8–9 seats reflects these cross-pressures and the limited remaining campaign window for major shifts in Haredi turnout or bloc realignment.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$5,210Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly 7–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with the 8–9 range emerging as the modal outcome in most surveys.** The party’s hardline position on ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions has driven measurable voter leakage to Otzma Yehudit and Likud, while Shas has responded by adding military reservists to its slate and softening its public messaging to retain traditional Sephardi and Zionist-leaning supporters. Internal leadership tensions between Aryeh Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef, plus competition within the broader religious-right bloc, add volatility. Traders’ concentration on 8–9 seats reflects these cross-pressures and the limited remaining campaign window for major shifts in Haredi turnout or bloc realignment.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Shas in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Shas contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Shas merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Shas in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$5,210Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling averages place Shas at roughly 7–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, with the 8–9 range emerging as the modal outcome in most surveys.** The party’s hardline position on ultra-Orthodox draft exemptions has driven measurable voter leakage to Otzma Yehudit and Likud, while Shas has responded by adding military reservists to its slate and softening its public messaging to retain traditional Sephardi and Zionist-leaning supporters. Internal leadership tensions between Aryeh Deri and Rabbi Yitzhak Yosef, plus competition within the broader religious-right bloc, add volatility. Traders’ concentration on 8–9 seats reflects these cross-pressures and the limited remaining campaign window for major shifts in Haredi turnout or bloc realignment.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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