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icon for John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
Politika·Ciara

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

icon for John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
Politika·Ciara

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

13% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
13% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe has served as CIA Director since his January 2025 Senate confirmation and remains in the role with no announced plans to depart. Recent developments include his June 2026 remarks on agency priorities, an unannounced August 2026 trip to Moscow for diplomatic messaging on NATO and Iran, and September 2026 reports positioning him for expanded involvement in Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Internal intelligence community shifts, including reduced competition at the DNI level, have further strengthened his standing. With roughly three months until the December 31, 2026 resolution date and no emerging signs of removal or resignation, the 88.5% implied probability on “No” aligns with the absence of political or procedural catalysts for change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,492
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe has served as CIA Director since his January 2025 Senate confirmation and remains in the role with no announced plans to depart. Recent developments include his June 2026 remarks on agency priorities, an unannounced August 2026 trip to Moscow for diplomatic messaging on NATO and Iran, and September 2026 reports positioning him for expanded involvement in Russia-Ukraine negotiations. Internal intelligence community shifts, including reduced competition at the DNI level, have further strengthened his standing. With roughly three months until the December 31, 2026 resolution date and no emerging signs of removal or resignation, the 88.5% implied probability on “No” aligns with the absence of political or procedural catalysts for change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,492
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 13% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 13¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 13% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 29, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?" ay 13% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 13% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.