**Recent rainfall and a weak cold front are cooling Beijing ahead of August 28, with models pointing to an overnight low in the 18–20°C range amid lingering clouds and light rain.** Forecasts from multiple sources show daytime highs near 20–22°C on the 28th under overcast skies and scattered showers, followed by a gradual overnight drop as winds remain light. This follows several days of rain that suppressed daytime heating and introduced cooler air, pulling temperatures below the late-August climatological average low of ~20°C. Model spreads and timing of any clearing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18°C, 20°C, and 22°C. Clearer skies or lighter winds could allow greater radiational cooling toward the lower end of that band, while persistent cloud cover or rain would limit the drop and favor the higher side. Historical precedent for the date includes lows as low as 11.9°C in extreme years, but current conditions point to a milder outcome with limited further cooling expected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Beijing on August 28?
20°C 50%
17°C 48%
18°C 46%
19°C 41%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
48%
18°C
46%
19°C
41%
20°C
50%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 50%
17°C 48%
18°C 46%
19°C 41%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
48%
18°C
46%
19°C
41%
20°C
50%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent rainfall and a weak cold front are cooling Beijing ahead of August 28, with models pointing to an overnight low in the 18–20°C range amid lingering clouds and light rain.** Forecasts from multiple sources show daytime highs near 20–22°C on the 28th under overcast skies and scattered showers, followed by a gradual overnight drop as winds remain light. This follows several days of rain that suppressed daytime heating and introduced cooler air, pulling temperatures below the late-August climatological average low of ~20°C. Model spreads and timing of any clearing create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 18°C, 20°C, and 22°C. Clearer skies or lighter winds could allow greater radiational cooling toward the lower end of that band, while persistent cloud cover or rain would limit the drop and favor the higher side. Historical precedent for the date includes lows as low as 11.9°C in extreme years, but current conditions point to a milder outcome with limited further cooling expected.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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