Current forecasts for Beijing on September 4 indicate overnight lows of 18–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points near 14–16°C that support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 32–34°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models cluster around 18–20°C, reflecting typical early-September conditions with limited cold-air advection. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced near 18–19°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle northerly shifts could alter minimum readings by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes below 16°C or above 21°C stay lower due to the absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
15°C 95%
16°C 95%
17°C 95%
20°C 95%
13°C or below
26%
14°C
16%
15°C
95%
16°C
95%
17°C
95%
18°C
50%
19°C
51%
20°C
95%
21°C
81%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
33%
15°C 95%
16°C 95%
17°C 95%
20°C 95%
13°C or below
26%
14°C
16%
15°C
95%
16°C
95%
17°C
95%
18°C
50%
19°C
51%
20°C
95%
21°C
81%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Beijing on September 4 indicate overnight lows of 18–21°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and dew points near 14–16°C that support moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 32–34°C. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models cluster around 18–20°C, reflecting typical early-September conditions with limited cold-air advection. Trader sentiment remains tightly balanced near 18–19°C because small variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle northerly shifts could alter minimum readings by 1–2°C, while probabilities for extremes below 16°C or above 21°C stay lower due to the absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the date will likely refine these ranges.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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