**Current meteorological forecasts for Jeddah on September 15, 2026, consistently project an overnight minimum near 31°C, aligning with the market's 97% implied probability for that outcome.** Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting sustains elevated humidity and restricts radiative cooling overnight, especially under the clear skies and light winds typical of mid-September. Official model guidance and station data show temperatures bottoming out around 29–31°C, with recent days exhibiting similar stability and no significant cooling influences such as cloud cover or frontal systems. The consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of these persistent conditions. A realistic shift below 31°C would require unexpected increases in cloud cover or a rare influx of cooler air, while readings above would need stronger daytime heat retention—both low-probability scenarios given current model consensus and historical September baselines near 30°C. Final hourly observations from Jeddah’s airport station will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Jeddah on September 15?
31°C 97%
27°C 10%
28°C 10%
26°C or below 9%
26°C or below
9%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
-
31°C
97%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 97%
27°C 10%
28°C 10%
26°C or below 9%
26°C or below
9%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
-
31°C
97%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current meteorological forecasts for Jeddah on September 15, 2026, consistently project an overnight minimum near 31°C, aligning with the market's 97% implied probability for that outcome.** Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting sustains elevated humidity and restricts radiative cooling overnight, especially under the clear skies and light winds typical of mid-September. Official model guidance and station data show temperatures bottoming out around 29–31°C, with recent days exhibiting similar stability and no significant cooling influences such as cloud cover or frontal systems. The consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of these persistent conditions. A realistic shift below 31°C would require unexpected increases in cloud cover or a rare influx of cooler air, while readings above would need stronger daytime heat retention—both low-probability scenarios given current model consensus and historical September baselines near 30°C. Final hourly observations from Jeddah’s airport station will resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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