Recent model consensus from the Met Office and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in London on September 6 near 14–15 °C, driven by light southerly winds, increasing cloud cover overnight, and modest radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure influence. These conditions limit the drop below seasonal norms, where the 1991–2020 average low sits around 12 °C, while preventing stronger cooling that would require clearer skies and calmer air. Subtle differences between the leading outcomes hinge on forecast variations in cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and the precise timing of any weak frontal moisture, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer processes at this range. Updated guidance through the evening of September 5 will refine whether the minimum settles at 14 °C or edges to 15 °C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in London on September 6?
15°C 43%
14°C 42%
16°C 8%
13°C 6%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
42%
15°C
43%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 43%
14°C 42%
16°C 8%
13°C 6%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
42%
15°C
43%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Met Office and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in London on September 6 near 14–15 °C, driven by light southerly winds, increasing cloud cover overnight, and modest radiative cooling under a weakening high-pressure influence. These conditions limit the drop below seasonal norms, where the 1991–2020 average low sits around 12 °C, while preventing stronger cooling that would require clearer skies and calmer air. Subtle differences between the leading outcomes hinge on forecast variations in cloud thickness, dew-point depression, and the precise timing of any weak frontal moisture, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical uncertainties in boundary-layer processes at this range. Updated guidance through the evening of September 5 will refine whether the minimum settles at 14 °C or edges to 15 °C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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