Ongoing monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, including persistent cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, represent the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 4 near 26°C, as indicated by IMD forecasts. High humidity, easterly winds, and frequent convective rainfall moderate radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops while limiting daytime heating. Multiple models show consensus around 25–27°C lows with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting this stable pattern, though localized heavy rain or clearer spells could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Updated IMD guidance and final observations on September 5 will determine the exact value.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 4?
31°C or higher 77%
21°C or below 68%
23°C 67%
24°C 67%
21°C or below
68%
22°C
9%
23°C
67%
24°C
67%
25°C
36%
26°C
38%
27°C
60%
28°C
67%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
77%
31°C or higher 77%
21°C or below 68%
23°C 67%
24°C 67%
21°C or below
68%
22°C
9%
23°C
67%
24°C
67%
25°C
36%
26°C
38%
27°C
60%
28°C
67%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
77%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing monsoon conditions across Uttar Pradesh, including persistent cloud cover and scattered thundershowers, represent the main driver keeping Lucknow's minimum temperature on September 4 near 26°C, as indicated by IMD forecasts. High humidity, easterly winds, and frequent convective rainfall moderate radiative cooling overnight, preventing sharper drops while limiting daytime heating. Multiple models show consensus around 25–27°C lows with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–27°C outcomes, reflecting this stable pattern, though localized heavy rain or clearer spells could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C. Updated IMD guidance and final observations on September 5 will determine the exact value.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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